Week 3 NFL DFS: Value Analysis Comes Into Focus

By Gerry Love - SPM Fantasy Staff FanDuel.com Photo With two weeks of the National Football League season behind us, we are starting to get a sense for the roles that players are likely to be playing within their teams’ systems as well as coaches’ play-calling tendencies and other indicators that can help us develop a true system for determining the best DFS value plays on a weekly basis. We also are at the point where we can start bringing some subjectivity to the process of how we evaluate value and sprinkle some common sense into the equation. For example, no matter how highly Allen Robinson is rated or how good his price is, if he doesn’t produce this week he goes to the banished list. B

In a Crazy NFL Year, Don't Make Crazy Fantasy Decisions

By Gerry Love - SPM Fantasy Staff Given everything else that has happened in 2020, the only thing we knew for certain heading into this National Football League season was that it would be a year like no other. That was pretty obvious considering that games were going to be played in front of few or no fans following training camps featuring limited contact and no exhibition contests. Rosters and practice squads were expanded to account for potential COVID cases and a likely increase in injuries, and the length of time hobbled players would have to spend on injured reserve before being eligible to return was shortened to three weeks. We knew that it would different for sure, but no one could

Week 2 NFL DFS Analysis is Always Tricky

NBCSports.com photo By Gerry Love - SPM Fantasy Staff Week 2 for NFL DFS is a tricky one to say the least – especially in the Year of the Coronavirus. On the one hand, you’ve got some current data to help you shape your decision-making and provide you with at least an idea of how teams are going to perform under new coaches and coordinators, how players are going to be used and which new players and rookies are likely to have an impact and might be counted on going forward. On the other hand, there are unexpected strong performances every week of every NFL season, so with such a small sample size you don’t want to jump to conclusions about every player who surprised us with a bigger-than-exp

Week 2: No Time for Panic

By Gerry Love - SPM Fantasy Staff When you look forward all summer to the start of the National Football League season and that excitement builds after you’ve drafted what you think are championship fantasy teams in the days leading up to the opening kickoff, it can be a huge letdown when the first weekend doesn’t go as planned for your teams. Don’t panic. Always remember this tired old cliché: It’s a marathon, not a sprint. If you thought your team was a contender a week ago, your opinion shouldn’t be swayed by rough Week 1 performances – especially this year when there were no preseason games and no OTAs to go along with many head coaching, coordinator and personnel changes. While the over

Week 1 NFL DFS Value Analysis

By Gerry Love - SPM Staff When it comes to winning at fantasy football, whether you are talking about full-season leagues or DFS contests, there are as many different strategies as there are games from which to choose. No matter how you boil it down, though, and no matter what fancy names you want to give your analytics and strategies, to have a legitimate shot to win you need to build your core with players who provide the greatest value and are most likely to get a high-volume of touches for the lowest price. If you can surround consistency with more expensive high-upside players who have favorable matchups on a weekly basis, then you are on to something. But how is this accomplished when

Last Minute NFL Fantasy Draft Tips

It’s crunch time for fantasy football players as we are less than 36 hours away from the opening kickoff for the long-anticipated 2020 National Football League season. While I’ve always preferred to play in leagues that draft during the week leading up to the opening game, there’s no doubt that this year more people than ever have waited until the last minute to draft given the uncertainty of the season brought on by the COVID-19 outbreak. My bet is that once you have drafted late, you’ll never go back. No season ever is anticipated like the start of NFL play each year. Football’s popularity makes it front-page sports-section news even in the offseason, so many people jump on the first oppor

Avoid Choking on Fantasy Football Draft Day

When it comes to fantasy sports – particularly fantasy football – generalizations and conventional wisdom are proven wrong on a daily and yearly basis. But, when it’s draft day and we’re trying to get the best value from each pick – especially football draft day after many months of offseason stories, analysis and buildup –while pouring over pages of notes and other pertinent information, there definitely are rules of thumb that can help you avoid paralysis by over-analysis as the draft clock winds down. We’ve all been there. After waiting 10 or more minutes between picks (or 25 minutes in my latest draft), placing players of interest in your queue and dissecting every possible scenario, the

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