Here are our college basketball Power 75 rankings and NCAA Tournament projections version 2.0.
These rankings are a combination of information that we have been compiling and tracking via our proprietary algorithm over the course of the season, actual game results vs. pre-flop probabilities and point spreads, what the bookmakers are saying via their opening game odds, sports book futures and how the professional gamblers are moving the lines on a daily basis.
We use these various components and the numbers they combine to produce to narrow down our daily betting options before running them through our model to filter out all the win probabilities that are below sixty percent. We throw those away right away, no questions asked.
Once we have the potential picks narrowed down, we incorporate new information such as injuries, travel, rest, location and other outside factors that might influence an outcome to determine our recommended picks. Those factors usually eliminate quite a few games before the final numbers are run for the contests that remain.
As we have stated many times in this space, we are extremely particular about the games we recommend, but these numbers serve as a starting point for our process. We hope to update them and post them here weekly.
StatLogic Sports NCAA Tournament Projections as of Feb. 10
Last Four In:
Utah State, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, North Carolina
Last Four Byes
BYU, Arkansas, Georgia, Nebraska
Note: this projection assumes that New Mexico is the Mountain West champion and VCU is the Atlantic 10 champion. Thus, they are in and not considered as one of the "last four in" or the "last four byes."
First Four Out
SMU, Pitt, Cincinnati, Zavier
Hanging on but Fading Fast
UNC, BYU, Georgia, Oklahoma
Freefalling & About to Disappear for Good
Cincinnati, Pitt, Penn State, Northwestern, UCF, Indiana
Making a Run
Wake Forest, Villanova, Zavier, Boise State, Kansas State, San Diego State
In & Undervalued
Texas A&M, Arizona, Wisconsin, Baylor, Memphis, West Virginia, New Mexico, Clemson, St. Mary's
In & Overvalued
Texas Tech, Gonzaga, UCLA, Oregon
Better Be Careful
Oregon, Texas
StatLogic Sports NCAA Basketball Power Rankings v2.0
Rank | Team | Rating |
1 | Auburn | 99.77 |
2 | Duke | 99.60 |
3 | Houston | 98.59 |
4 | Alabama | 98.32 |
5 | Tennessee | 97.92 |
6 | Florida | 97.40 |
7 | Purdue | 96.87 |
8 | Texas Tech | 96.31 |
9 | Iowa State | 96.00 |
10 | Arizona | 95.65 |
11 | Michigan State | 95.55 |
12 | Kansas | 94.85 |
13 | Illinois | 94.77 |
14 | St. John's | 94.60 |
15 | Michigan | 94.48 |
16 | Mississippi | 94.37 |
17 | Texas A&M | 94.12 |
18 | Maryland | 93.89 |
19 | Kentucky | 93.56 |
20 | Marquette | 93.41 |
21 | Gonzaga | 93.39 |
22 | Wisconsin | 93.15 |
23 | Missouri | 93.01 |
24 | UCLA | 92.69 |
25 | St. Mary's | 92.68 |
26 | Mississippi State | 92.44 |
27 | Uconn | 92.17 |
28 | Baylor | 91.10 |
29 | Oregon | 90.91 |
30 | Ohio State | 90.60 |
31 | Louisville | 90.35 |
32 | Clemson | 90.30 |
33 | Creighton | 90.15 |
34 | Georgia | 89.48 |
35 | Texas | 89.44 |
36 | BYU | 89.28 |
37 | North Carolina | 88.51 |
38 | Memphis | 88.26 |
39 | VCU | 88.20 |
39 | SMU | 88.10 |
40 | Arkansas | 88.03 |
41 | Pittsburgh | 88.00 |
42 | Nebraska | 87.77 |
43 | West Virginia | 87.62 |
44 | Vanderbilt | 87.51 |
45 | New Mexico | 87.22 |
46 | Oklahoma | 86.97 |
47 | Cincinnati | 86.73 |
48 | Xavier | 86.72 |
49 | Villanova | 86.65 |
50 | San Diego State | 86.65 |
51 | Utah State | 86.21 |
52 | Indiana | 86.13 |
53 | Wake Forest | 86.03 |
54 | Penn State | 86.00 |
55 | USC | 85.48 |
56 | Northwestern | 85.45 |
57 | Iowa | 85.13 |
58 | Boise State | 85.12 |
59 | UCF | 85.02 |
60 | Santa Clara | 84.72 |
61 | Irvine | 84.68 |
62 | Kansas State | 84.65 |
63 | Oregon State | 84.64 |
64 | Rutgers | 84.33 |
65 | UC San Diego | 84.30 |
66 | North Texas | 84.18 |
67 | Arizona State | 84.03 |
68 | LSU | 83.76 |
69 | Dayton | 83.61 |
70 | George Mason | 83.47 |
71 | San Francisco | 83.46 |
72 | Stanford | 83.31 |
73 | Drake | 83.30 |
74 | McNeese State | 83.27 |
75 | Minnesota | 82.87 |
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