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StatLogic Sports College Basketball Power 75 & NCAA Tournament Projections for 2/3

Scott L.


Here we go!


Below please find our first NCAA college basketball Power 75 Rankings of the season as well as our initial projections for the NCAA Tournament in terms of the last four in, last four byes, first four out and those likely to move up or fall out in the future. With football sadly coming to an end and the stretch run of the hoops season on the horizon, we have the time and data necessarily to do this properly.


These rankings are based on our model, what the bookmakers think of the current matchups, sportbook future odds and how the pros are moving the lines day to day. We use them to narrow down our daily betting options before running them through our proprietary algorithm to filter out all the win probabilities that are 60 percent or better. Once we have the potential picks narrowed down we input new information such as injuries, travel, rest, location and other outside factors that might influence an outcome to determine our recommended picks. As we have stated many times in this space, we are extremely particular about the games we recommend, but these numbers serve as a starting point for our process. We hope to update them and post them here weekly.


StatLogic Sports NCAA Tournament Projections as of Feb. 3

Last Four In:

Oklahoma, SMU, West Virginia, Penn State


Last Four Byes:

Georgia, UNC, Memphis, Pitt


Hanging on by a Thread:

UNC, WVU, Penn State


Potential to Crash the Party:

Arkansas, New Mexico, San Diego State


Must Turn it Around Quickly:

Cincinnati, Vanderbilt


In & Undervalued:

Creighton, Texas, Texas A&M, St. Mary's, Texas Tech, Missouri


In & Overvalued:

Gonzaga, Kentucky, Kansas, Mississippi State, Ohio State, BYU



StatLogic Sports NCAA Basketball Power 75 for Feb. 3

Rank

Team

Rate

1

Auburn

99.79

2

Duke

99.60

3

Houston

98.86

4

Tennessee

98.00

5

Alabama

97.83

6

Florida

97.50

7

Iowa State

96.50

8

Purdue

96.43

9

Michigan State

96.25

10

Illinois

95.55

11

Arizona

95.25

12

Kansas

95.19

13

Kentucky

94.94

14

Texas Tech

94.51

15

Maryland

94.50

16

Marquette

94.36

17

Michigan  

94.08

18

St. John's

93.81

19

Gonzaga

93.78

20

Mississippi State

92.73

21

St. Mary's

92.73

22

Wisconsin

92.56

23

Texas A&M

92.49

24

Mississippi 

92.47

25

Baylor

92.44

26

Missouri

92.18

27

Oregon

91.69

28

Uconn

91.34

29

UCLA

90.98

30

Louisville

90.25

31

Ohio State

90.15

32

Clemson

89.88

33

Texas

89.66

34

BYU

89.04

35

Creighton

88.97

36

Georgia

88.66

37

North Carolina

88.64

38

Memphis

88.50

39

Pittsburgh

88.31

40

Oklahoma

88.28

41

SMU

88.15

42

West Virginia

87.87

43

Penn State

87.44

44

Cincinnati

87.31

45

Utah State

87.18

46

Arkansas

86.94

47

San Diego State

86.88

48

Nebraska

86.79

49

Northwestern

86.76

50

Vanderbilt

86.75

51

VCU

86.69

52

Xavier

86.69

53

USC

86.65

54

Villanova

86.19

55

UCF

85.68

56

Boise State

85.50

57

Indiana

85.46

58

Wake Forest

85.38

59

Irvine

85.10

60

New Mexico

84.94

61

Santa Clara

84.94

62

Arizona State

84.69

63

Iowa 

84.55

64

North Texas

84.47

65

Oregon State

83.95

66

LSU

83.88

67

Rutgers

83.79

68

McNeese State

83.59

69

Dayton

83.45

70

UC San Diego

83.44

71

Stanford

83.38

72

San Francisco

83.31

73

UAB

83.19

74

Drake

82.88

75

South Carolina

82.66

 

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