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StatLogic Sports Daily Hoops Hustle for 2/11: Some Sneaky Big NCAA Hoops Games Tonight

Scott L.



There are some big games tonight on the NCAA college basketball slate, but many people may not know how important they are. And then there are a whole host of other really good matchups that everyone knows about but aren't as crucial because the teams already pretty much have their NCAA Tournament bids sealed up.


Vanderbilt, right on the edge of the bubble according to our StatLogic tourney projections, can make a huge case for itself tonight with a strong performance at home against top-ranked Auburn. Meanwhile, BYU and West Virginia are battling for Big 12 Tournament seeding and one of the final NCAA spots. WVU hosts the Cougars this evening. Kansas State has been one of the top teams in the nation over the last three weeks and can make another statement tonight against Arizona in Manhattan in another Big 12 showdown.


Penn State and USC both are free falling out of the picture, but one of them might be able to cling to some hope with a win over the other tonight. Fading Texas and Georgia teams can right their ships this evening against Alabama and Texas A&M, respectively, while Pitt and SMU match up in a Texas-sized ACC grudge match that has both conference and national implications. Both teams are on the edge of the bubble and likely on the outside looking in right now.


When you read through today's information, keep in mind that we are extremely selective with our recommended picks as they need to have at least a 60-percent win probability or better according to our proprietary algorithm and also must pass through that stringent set of parameters that we consider for each matchup. In our daily posts you will find our recommended bets as well as games that don't quite make the cut to be recommended and which might make solid parlay options and other games where we believe there are edges favoring one side.


Parlays always will have a lower win probability than straight bets, but there are times that a parlay will meet our requirements and be recommended. We realize that many sports bettors prefer not to bet very short odds that approach and exceed -200, so in our goal to provide as much information and help as many people as possible, we do provide potential parlay options that are strong bets that don't quite make the cut for us as well as other games that have betting edges but also don't quite meet our high standards to be recommended picks.


Our college basketball betting edges have performed well, hovering between 56.5 and 58 percent over a large sample size since early November, and our parlay options have been extremely successful as you can see below.



StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for 2/11

Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability

N/A


StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for 2/11

Superstar Picks have a 60% or better win probability

Loyola Chicago money line -220 at Richmond - WIN


StatLogic Sports Bonus Bets for 2/11

N/A



Parlay City

While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edges.


Our potential money line parlay games from Jan. 4-6 were 19-1 ... they have gone 218-76 (74.1%) since Jan. 4 and were 18-2 Jan. 14-15. They were 14-1 overall Feb. 4-5 (college hoops went 12-0 those two days). On Feb. 11 they were 13-0.



Potential CBB Money Line Parlay Options for 2/11

Ohio - WIN

Loyola Chicago - WIN

Iowa State - WIN

Auburn - WIN

Cincinnati - WIN

Illinois - WIN

Northern Iowa - WIN

North Texas - WIN

SMU - WIN

Alabama - WIN

Utah State - WIN

Texas A&M - WIN


NBA:

Detroit Pistons - WIN



NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edge Record:

692-531-16 (56.6%)


Feb. 11 Record: 11-3

Feb. 10 Record: 4-0

Feb. 9 Record: Off Day

Feb. 8 Record: 17-17-1

Feb. 7 Record: 1-3

Feb. 6 Record: 7-8

Feb. 5 Record: 14-8-1

Feb. 4 Record: 9-8

Feb. 3 Record: 8-5

Feb. 2 Record: 3-3

Feb. 1 Record: 20-19-1

Jan. 31 Record: 6-3

Jan. 30 Record: 13-5-1

Jan. 29 Record; 15-12-1

Jan. 28 Record: 13-7

Jan. 27 Record: 8-1

Jan. 26 Record: 0-4

Jan. 25 Record: 21-17

Jan. 24 Record: 3-4

Jan. 23 Record: 8-6

Jan. 22 Record: 7-10

Jan. 21 Record: 12-6-1

Jan. 20 Record: 6-3

Jan. 19 Record: 2-4

Jan. 18 Record: 20-14

Jan. 17 Record: 6-4

Jan. 16 Record: 15-6


Last 7 days: 63-47-2 (57.3%)

Last 26 days: 249-178-7 (58.3%)

Last 60 days: 541-401-14 (57.4%)



StatLogic Sports NCAA College Basketball Betting Edges 2/11

UAB money line -135 East Carolina - LOSS

Tennessee money line -145 at Kentucky - LOSS

Florida money line +105 at Mississippi State - WIN

Auburn -8 at Vanderbilt - WIN

Syracuse +2.5 at Miami - LOSS

George Mason +1.5 at St. Louis - WIN

DePaul +17 at Marquette - WIN

Indiana +11.5 at Michigan State - WIN

USC money line -198 vs. Penn State - WIN

Alabama -4 at Texas - WIN

UConn +4 at Creighton - WIN

Loyola Marymount money line -135 at Pepperdine - WIN

Santa Clara +10.5 at St. Mary's - WIN

Utah State -6.5 vs. Colorado State - WIN





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