StatLogic Sports Daily Hoops Hustle for Day 1 of the NCAA Basketball Tournament
- Scott L.
- Mar 20
- 5 min read
Updated: Mar 21

We are really working hard to launch our business - which will include multiple websites dedicated to sports betting, fantasy sports and more - in the next 60 to 90 days. So the last week has included a lot of travel, and we have a lot going on. Frankly, we didn't get ourselves entered in as many contests as we might have liked, and we apologize for missing bracket deadlines and not having time to impart our bracket wisdom.
Still, we are going to try to provide our recommended picks, betting edges, parlay options and dogs of the day throughout the tournament as there always is money to be made. We also will be including ALL of our projections, but please don't bet solely based on that information. Take a look at everything we post to understand what we recommend and where we feel there are edges. We are numbers guys, but there is a lot more to what we do than just blindly trusting the numbers.
Today's betting edges, parlay options and dogs of the day are listed below. Recommended picks will be added as we have them. Good luck and enjoy the madness!
Friendly Daily Reminder
When you read through today's information, keep in mind that we are extremely selective with our recommended picks as they need to have at least a 60-percent win probability or better according to our proprietary algorithm and also must pass through a stringent set of rules and parameters that we consider for each matchup. In our daily posts, you will find our recommended bets as well as games that don't quite make the cut to be recommended and which might make solid parlay options and other games where we believe there are edges favoring one side.
Parlays always will have a lower win probability than straight bets, but there are times that a parlay will meet our requirements and be recommended. We realize that many sports bettors prefer not to bet very short odds that approach and exceed -200, so as we strive to provide as much information and help as many people as possible, we do provide suggest parlay options that are strong bets and don't quite make the cut for us as recommended selections. We also may present other games that have betting edges but also don't quite meet our high standards to be recommended picks.
Our college basketball betting edges have performed well, hovering between 55 and 58 percent over a large sample size since early November, and our parlay options have been extremely successful as you can see below.
StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for 3/20
Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability
TBD
StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for 3/20
All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability
TBD
StatLogic Sports Bonus Bets for 3/20
Michigan money line -135 vs. UC San Diego - WIN
Parlay City
While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edges.
Our potential money line parlay games from Jan. 4-6 were 19-1 ... they have gone 384-138 (73.6%) since Jan. 4 and were 18-2 Jan. 14-15. They were 14-1 overall Feb. 4-5 (college hoops went 12-0 those two days). On Feb. 11 they were 13-0, and for Feb. 11-13 combined they were 31-2. We closed out college hoops regular season on a 21-3 run with our parlay options.
Postseason Money Line Parlay Options: 32-7. We opened the postseason on a 29-4 run.
Potential CBB Money Line Parlay Options for 3/20
Clemson - LOSS
Missouri - LOSS
Purdue - WIN
Michigan - WIN
NBA:
Sacramento Kings - LOSS
Indiana Pacers - WIN
StatLogic Sports NCAA College Basketball Betting Edges 3/20
projected point differential in parentheses
Creighton +3.5 vs. Louisville (1.69) - WIN
Clemson -7.5 vs. McNeese (9.52) - LOSS
Michigan -2.5 vs. UC San Diego (5.83) - WIN
Georgia +6.5 vs. Gonzaga (3.45) - LOSS
Wisconsin -16.5 vs. Montana (18.55) - WIN
Utah State +5.5 vs. UCLA (4.43) - LOSS
Texas Tech -14.5 vs. UNCW (16.28) - LOSS
All Stat-Logic Sports Day 1 NCAA Tournament Projections
for informational purposes; these are not recommenced picks or edges
Clemson (9.52) vs. McNeese
Purdue (11.78) vs. High Point
Missouri (7.89) vs. Drake
Kansas (5.84) vs. Arkansas
Louisville (1.69) vs. Creighton
Gonzaga (3.45) vs. Georgia
Michigan (5.83) vs. UCSD
Wisconsin (18.55) vs. Montana
St. John's (17.93) vs. Omsha
Auburn (29.85) vs. Alabama State
Houston (25.52) vs. SIUE
Missouri (7.89) vs. Drake
Arkansas +5.5 vs. Kansas
Texas Tech (16.28) vs. UNCW
Texas A&M (10.84) vs. Yale
BYU (-2.99) vs. VCU
Wisconsin (18.55) vs. Montana
Dogs of the Day
These are the teams that we believe have the best shot at winning outright as underdogs. These are NOT recommended picks.
Creighton +150 (winner)
Utah State +195
Georgia +275
Arkansas +190 (winner)
Postseason College Basketball Record:
Parlay Options: 32-7 (82.1%)
Betting Edges: 35-26-1 (57.4%)
Bonus Picks: 7-2 (77.8%)
Last 7 Days: 35-24-1 (59.3%)
Last 57 days: 496-357 (58.1%)
Postseason Betting Edge Log
March 21; 3-4
March 18: 3-2
March 16: 1-2
March 15: 5-2
March 14: 4-3-1
March 13: 11-8
March 12: 8-5
NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edges
Final Regular-Season Record:
875-662-19 (56.9%)
March 9 Record: 7-7
March 8 Record: 10-6
March 7 Record: 9-5
March 6 Record: 8-8
March 5 Record: 7-5
March 4 Record: 13-6
March 3 Record: 3-1
March 2 Record: 7-3
March 1 Record: 17-14
Feb. 28 Record: 6-5
Feb. 27 Record: 4-3
Feb. 26 Record: 9-7
Feb. 25 Record: 10-6
Feb. 24 Record: 5-2
Feb. 23 Record: 6-2-1
Feb. 22 Record: 13-13
Feb. 21 Record: 5-2
Feb. 20 Record: 4-7
Feb. 19 Record: 8-8
Feb. 18 Record: 3-6
Feb. 17 Record: 3-1
Feb. 16 Record: 5-2
Feb. 15 Record: 23-14-2
Feb. 14 Record: 5-2
Feb. 13 Record: 9-5
Feb. 12 Record: 8-7-1
Feb. 11 Record: 11-3
Feb. 10 Record: 4-0
Feb. 9 Record: Off Day
Feb. 8 Record: 17-17-1
Feb. 7 Record: 1-3
Feb. 6 Record: 7-8
Feb. 5 Record: 14-8-1
Feb. 4 Record: 9-8
Feb. 3 Record: 8-5
Feb. 2 Record: 3-3
Feb. 1 Record: 20-19-1
Jan. 31 Record: 6-3
Jan. 30 Record: 13-5-1
Jan. 29 Record; 15-12-1
Jan. 28 Record: 13-7
Jan. 27 Record: 8-1
Jan. 26 Record: 0-4
Jan. 25 Record: 21-17
Jan. 24 Record: 3-4
Jan. 23 Record: 8-6
Jan. 22 Record: 7-10
Jan. 21 Record: 12-6-1
Jan. 20 Record: 6-3
Jan. 19 Record: 2-4
Jan. 18 Record: 20-14
Jan. 17 Record: 6-4
Jan. 16 Record: 15-6
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