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StatLogic Sports Daily Hoops Hustle for NCAA Tournament Day 2: Picks & Edges & Parlay Options with Projections & Dogs of the Day

Updated: Mar 22



Life comes at you fast during the first the first few days of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament. Not much time to write or talk, so let's just get to it. After a so-so opening day for us, you can check below for all of today's March Madness nuggets.



Friendly Daily Reminder

When you read through today's information, keep in mind that we are extremely selective with our recommended picks as they need to have at least a 60-percent win probability or better according to our proprietary algorithm and also must pass through a stringent set of rules and parameters that we consider for each matchup. In our daily posts, you will find our recommended bets as well as games that don't quite make the cut to be recommended and which might make solid parlay options and other games where we believe there are edges favoring one side.


Parlays always will have a lower win probability than straight bets, but there are times that a parlay will meet our requirements and be recommended. We realize that many sports bettors prefer not to bet very short odds that approach and exceed -200, so as we strive to provide as much information and help as many people as possible, we do provide suggest parlay options that are strong bets and don't quite make the cut for us as recommended selections. We also may present other games that have betting edges but also don't quite meet our high standards to be recommended picks.


Our college basketball betting edges have performed well, hovering around 58 percent over a large sample size since early November, and our parlay options have been extremely successful as you can see below.



StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for 3/21

Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability

TBD


StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for 3/21

All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability

TBD


StatLogic Sports Bonus Bets for 3/21

St. Mary's money line -185 vs. Vanderbilt (68%) - WIN



Parlay City

While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edges.


Our potential money line parlay games from Jan. 4-6 were 19-1 ... they have gone 384-138 (73.6%) since Jan. 4 and were 18-2 Jan. 14-15. They were 14-1 overall Feb. 4-5 (college hoops went 12-0 those two days). On Feb. 11 they were 13-0, and for Feb. 11-13 combined they were 31-2. We closed out college hoops regular season on a 21-3 run with our parlay options.


Postseason Money Line Parlay Options: 36-7. We opened the postseason on a 29-4 run.



Potential CBB Money Line Parlay Options for 3/21

Oregon - WIN

UConn - WIN

St. Mary's - WIN

Maryland - WIN


Top survivor picks: Iowa State (win) & Maryland (win)


NBA:

TBD



StatLogic Sports NCAA College Basketball Betting Edges 3/21

projected point differential in parentheses

Oklahoma +5.5 vs. UConn (2.06) - LOSS

Mississippi +2.5 vs. North Carolina (-2.66) - WIN

Maryland -10 vs. Grand Canyon (15.09) - WIN

Oregon -7 vs. Liberty (9.45) - WIN

St. Mary's money line -185 vs. Vanderbilt (2.28) - WIN

Baylor +1.5 vs. Mississippi State (-0.39) - WIN

Iowa State -13.5 vs. Lipscomb (14.13) - WIN



All Stat-Logic Sports Day 1 NCAA Tournament Projections

for informational purposes; these are not recommenced picks or edges


Mount St. Mary’s vs. Duke (28.03)

Baylor vs. Mississippi State (0.35)

Norfolk State vs. Florida (27.42)

Oklahoma vs. UConn (2.06)

Marquette vs. New Mexico (4.03)

Michigan State (-17.4) vs. Bryant

Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary’s (2.28)

Robert Morris vs. Alabama (18.3)

Mississippi (-2.66) vs. North Carolina

Lipscomb +15 vs. Iowa State (14.13)

Illinois (-2.99) vs. Xavier

Kentucky (-11.99) vs. Troy

Oregon (-9.45) vs. Liberty

Akron vs. Arizona (14.19)

Memphis (-0.83) vs. Colorado State

Maryland (-15.09) vs. Grand Canyon



Dogs of the Day

These are the teams that we believe have the best shot at winning outright as underdogs. These are NOT recommended picks.


Mississippi +110 vs. North Carolina (winner)

Xavier +155 vs. Illinois

New Mexico +155 vs. Marquette (winner)



Postseason College Basketball Record:

Parlay Options: 36-7 (83.7%)

Betting Edges: 41-26-1 (61.2%)

Bonus Picks: 7-2 (77.8%)

Last 7 Days: 33-20-1 (62.3%)

Last 58 days: 502-358 (58.4%)


Postseason Betting Edge Log

March 22: 6-1

March 21; 3-4

March 18: 3-2

March 16: 1-2

March 15: 5-2

March 14: 4-3-1

March 13: 11-8

March 12: 8-5



NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edges

Final Regular-Season Record:

875-662-19 (56.9%)


March 9 Record: 7-7

March 8 Record: 10-6

March 7 Record: 9-5

March 6 Record: 8-8

March 5 Record: 7-5

March 4 Record: 13-6

March 3 Record: 3-1

March 2 Record: 7-3

March 1 Record: 17-14

Feb. 28 Record: 6-5

Feb. 27 Record: 4-3

Feb. 26 Record: 9-7

Feb. 25 Record: 10-6

Feb. 24 Record: 5-2

Feb. 23 Record: 6-2-1

Feb. 22 Record: 13-13

Feb. 21 Record: 5-2

Feb. 20 Record: 4-7

Feb. 19 Record: 8-8

Feb. 18 Record: 3-6

Feb. 17 Record: 3-1

Feb. 16 Record: 5-2

Feb. 15 Record: 23-14-2

Feb. 14 Record: 5-2

Feb. 13 Record: 9-5

Feb. 12 Record: 8-7-1

Feb. 11 Record: 11-3

Feb. 10 Record: 4-0

Feb. 9 Record: Off Day

Feb. 8 Record: 17-17-1

Feb. 7 Record: 1-3

Feb. 6 Record: 7-8

Feb. 5 Record: 14-8-1

Feb. 4 Record: 9-8

Feb. 3 Record: 8-5

Feb. 2 Record: 3-3

Feb. 1 Record: 20-19-1

Jan. 31 Record: 6-3

Jan. 30 Record: 13-5-1

Jan. 29 Record; 15-12-1

Jan. 28 Record: 13-7

Jan. 27 Record: 8-1

Jan. 26 Record: 0-4

Jan. 25 Record: 21-17

Jan. 24 Record: 3-4

Jan. 23 Record: 8-6

Jan. 22 Record: 7-10

Jan. 21 Record: 12-6-1

Jan. 20 Record: 6-3

Jan. 19 Record: 2-4

Jan. 18 Record: 20-14

Jan. 17 Record: 6-4

Jan. 16 Record: 15-6



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