Today is one of those days.
We've got a million college hoops games going on along with NFL Wildcard Weekend and the standard Saturday NBA slate. If we were a huge company we'd have people working on very specific aspects of all those slates, but we aren't.
So we will take it an hour at a time and continue to update this page throughout the day. Numbers change. New information comes in. We often tweak our edges, parlay options and evern our recommended picks right up until game time.
Check back in often, and as always, shop around for the best number.
As you read through today's information, keep in mind that we are extremely selective with our recommended picks as they need to have at least a 60-percent win probability or better according to our proprietary algorithm and also must pass through a stringent set of rules that we consider for each matchup. Parlays always will have a lower win probability than straight bets, but there are times that a parlay will meet our requirements and be recommended. We realize that many sports bettors prefer not to bet very short odds that approach and exceed -200, so in our goal to provide as much information and help as many people as possible, we do provide potential parlay options that are strong bets that don't quite make the cut for us as well as other games that have betting edges but also don't quite meet our high standards to be recommended picks.
Our college basketball betting edges have performed well, hovering at around 56 to 57 percent over a large sample size since early November, and our parlay options have been extremely successful as you can see below.
StatLogic Sports Superstar Pick for 1/11
Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability
CBB: Princeton money line -198 at Harvard (73% win probability) - WIN
StatLogic Sports All-Star Pick for 1/11
All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability
NBA: Detroit Pistons money line -180 vs. Toronton Raptors (62%) - WIN
Parlay City
While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edtes.
Our potential money line parlay games from Jan. 4-6 were 19-1 ... they have gone 55-15 since Jan. 4 !!!
Potential Money Line Parlay Options for 1/11
NBA:
Detroit Pistons - WIN
Phoenix Suns - WIN
CBB:
Princeton - WIN
UConn - WIN
Northern Kentucky - LOSS
Clemson - WIN
Dartmouth - WIN
Missouri - WIN
Xavier - WIN
Wake Forest - WIN
Tennessee - WIN
Mississippi State - LOSS
Utah State - WIN
UC San Diego - LOSS
North Florida- WIN
For those interested in the money line parlay option, also worth considering as a MLP partner is the NFL's Baltimore Ravens.
NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edge Record:
454-353-11 (56.3%)
Jan. 11 Record: 22-20-1
Jan. 10 Record: 4-4-0
Jan. 9 Record: 8-7-0
Jan. 8 Record: 10-8-1
Jan. 7 Record: 7-9-1
Jan. 6 Record: 5-2-0
Jan. 5 Record: 6-3-0
Last 7 days: 62-53-3 (53.9%)
Last 31 days: 267-209-8 (56.1%)
Stat-Logic Sports NCAA College Basketball Betting Edges 1/11
Illinois -13 vs. USC - LOSS
Louisville +4.5 at Pittsburgh - WIN
Brown +10.5 at Yale - LOSS
Appalachian State money line -125 vs. James Madison - WIN Indiana State money line -145 vs. Belmont - LOSS
South Carolina +17.5 vs. Auburn - WIN
UNC Wilmington +2.5 at Hofstra - LOSS
Monmouth +7.5 vs. Charleston - WIN
Fordham +9 at Davidson - LOSS
BGSU +6 at Ball State - LOSS
BYU money line -125 at TCU - LOSS
Delaware -2 at Hampton - LOSS
Kansas pk/ml -110 at Cincinnati - WIN
Omaha +5 vs. South Dakota State - WIN
Cleveland State +5 at Youngstown State - WIN
Clemson -7.5 vs. Florida State - WIN
Loyola Chicago +5.5 at St. Joseph's - LOSS
San Jose State money line -125 at Air Force - WIN
Bradley money line -150 at Illinois Chicago - WIN
UNLV +5.5 at Colorado State - LOSS
Virginia +7.5 at Stanford - LOSS
Valparaiso +7 at Murray State - LOSS
Sacramento State +5 at Eastern Washington - LOSS
Arkansas +4.5 vs. Florida - LOSS
Arkansas State +2 at Troy - WIN
Long Beach State +5 at UC Davis - WIN
Seton Hall +8 at Providence - WIN
Wake Forest -3.5 at Miami - WIN
Tennessee -4 at Texas - PUSH
UNC Greensboro +6.5 at Samford - LOSS
Jacksonville State +6.5 at Middle Tennessee State - LOSS
Houston -10.5 at Kansas State - WIN
Villanova +6.5 at St. John's - LOSS
Oklahoma State +7.5 at Utah - LOSS
South Dakota +10 at St. Thomas - LOSS
Indiana +5.5 at Iowa - LOSS
Alabama -2.5 at Texas A&M - WIN
Pacific +9 vs. Oregon State - LOSS
St. Mary's -16 vs. San Diego - WIN
Central Florida +17 at Arizona - WIN
UNC Asheville +1 at Presbyterian - WIN
Bryant money line -150 vs. Vermont - WIN
North Florida -5.5 at Bellarmine - WIN
High Point -13.5 vs. Gardner-Webb - WIN
Our Process
We take a look at every single college and pro basketball game on the schedule every day. By using available data and a strict filtering progress, we are able to determine which games might present betting edges for us to examine more closely.
Since we are a small - but hopefully growing - family-oriented business, we only have so much manpower and bandwidth available to create content and break down games. Just trust us when we say that we follow a very detailed extensive process every day, which helps us weed out games, determine where there might be betting edges and ultimately determine which picks will meet our high standards to be the ones we recommend to clients and potential customers.
Because of the number of games that can be on the daily basketball docket - there were 130 college hoops games Saturday - and the attention we give to football now and baseball in the spring, there are some days when we don't have the time to break down our picks and potential picks and provide as much content as we like, so on days like that we may just post picks here or on our Twitter or BlueSky account.
Soon we also will be using TikTok, Instagram and YouTube to post picks, game breakdowns and other content as often ass possible. There also is a podcast in our future plans via which we will provide insight about games, picks and sports gambling to help anyone interested along their sports-gambling journey.
And we will continue to post and break down games that our model feels strongly about that are close to being recommended picks but don't make the cut for one reason or another. Those will be posted for anyone to see along with the games with betting edges you see below that we have been posting for several months now.
Those edges are presented in this space, along with any recommended picks from our proprietary algorithm, several times a week. Most of them will miss the cut to be recommended selections, because we have a very stringent set of requirements that must be met for a game to be released as an All-Star or Superstar Pick.
After analyzing as many as 50 different statistical categories and other factors for each contest, our proprietary algorithm proceeds to provide us with win probabilities for whichever games we run. Percentages are provided for spread bets, money-line bets and totals.
From there. we throw out any games that are below 60-percent win probability and then apply a rigorous set of rules and guidelines to each contest to determine which ones meet our final criteria. Information such as injuries, rest, coaching matchups, styles of play and pace, recent form and other data points are included in this process.
Once the process is complete, hopefully we are left with a few games that become recommended picks - and perhaps a few that narrowly miss the cut.
We usually don't recommend parlays, but we realize there are times when the short odds for one of our recommended picks makes betting a certain side prohibitive for some people. When that happens, although we may not recommend the parlay, we at least want to help those folks have the best chance of winning if that's the direction they choose to take.
So far in our tracking of college basketball games since the season opened in early November, the games we have determined to have betting edges have compiled a record of 454-353-11 (56.3%). All of our recommended picks that have been posted in all sports since mid-August have been winning consistently at about a 70-percent clip. ming +8 vs. New Mexico - PUSH
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