StatLogic Sports First Glance Week 7 Updated NFL Power Ratings

Every Monday night, as soon as the last National Football League game of the week concludes, we update and post our NFL Power Ratings in real time based on the week's results to date, past accumulated data, the eye test and injuries. This is the initial process we go through each week before posting our final updated ratings every Thursday.

Here are our first-glance NFL Power Ratings for Week 7

First Glance Week 7 Updated NFL Power Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Buccaneers	100
2	Packers	99.5
3	Bills	99
4	Lions	98.5
5	Colts	98
6	Eagles	97.5
7	Chiefs	97
8	49ers	96.5
9	Rams	96
10	Chargers	95.5
11	Seahawks	95
12	Broncos	94.5
13	Falcons	94
14	Steelers	93.5
15	Vikings	93.5
16	Commanders	93.5
17	Jaguars	93
18	Patriots	93
19	Bears	93
20	Texans	92.5
21	Panthers	92
22	Cowboys	91.5
23	Cardinals	91.5
24	Ravens	91
25	Giants	91
26	Bengals	90.5
27	Browns	90
28	Raiders	90
29	Dolphins	89.5
30	Saints	89
31	Jets	88
32	Titans	87.5

After a rough couple of weeks for our betting edges, we took a step back this week and were a little more stringent in what games we would consider because of the rash of injuries that had swept through the NFL. Those injuries made it a little more challenging to determine the games with actual edges and our results for two weeks were indicative of that. Our algorithm that produces the bets we recommend for our clients continued to be successful because that is strictly a math-based, unbiased formula that doesn't even consider games that are impacted by a number of injuries. We adopted a similar approach for our edges in Week 6 and got back on the right track as our edges went 3-1 to go along with a winning recommended bet that was given out to our paying customers.

Every algorithm selection gets run through a strict set of rules and guidelines. If key players are injured or there are multiple injuries, the game just gets thrown out. We don't consider it. Period.

In an effort to provide free information for people who come to our website and satisfy a larger number of folks who crave a little more action, we provide betting edges and other information. But as we always say, those edges are "bet at your own risk."

The edges are part of the process in which we narrow down the games we will run through the algorithm, and the first step in that process is compiling these power ratings that are then tweaked based on market data, sportsbook opinion, injuries and other information right up until kickoff.

On Sunday morning as the weekly inactive players are reported, the games that qualify are run through our algorithm and usually one or two "recommended" bets are produced and sent to our customers. These selections have won at nearly a 65 percent rate for two decades.

Some weeks there may be one or two recommended selections, while other weeks there may be none. Generally, we only recommend games that have a win probability of 70 percent or better, although sometimes we will release "bonus bets" that are 65 percent or better and meet our strict requirements.

Understand that when a key player is hurt and out for the remainder of the season, it doesn't mean we will never recommend a game that includes that team. But it does take several weeks of data collected without that player in the lineup before we are confident in its accuracy.

That said, while we had a slightly below .500 week with our college football edges for CFB Week 6, they bounced back to go 13-9 last week and have won at better than a 60 percent rate over the past four weeks.

We were determined to do a better job of filtering our betting edges and the other free information we post for the general public on this site. We owe that to our followers, and the bottom line is no one is going to trust us enough to become a customer if our free information isn't solid. For our NFL edges, Week 6 was a step in the right direction.

Our change in approach likely will lead to fewer games being posted in the short term, which might be frustrating to some, but the reality is that being a successful sports bettor ultimately comes down to being disciplined and taking a longer-term approach instead of placing volume bets. While having more action might be fun to some folks, winning is a lot more fun. Trust us on that.

That's why we are very particular about the bets we recommend and why we've produced an annual ROI for our longer-term customers that matches or exceeds investment opportunities that are currently available.

One area in which we always have been very successful is with our prop bets. We've been posting occasional "Prime Time Props" for the Sunday, Monday and Thursday night NFL games on Twitter and BlueSky. They've done very well, but like our other recommended picks, we don't just post all of them for free. Those selections are not based on any algorithm but instead come from the fantasy football side of our business. But just like our recommended game picks, we are very particular about which player props we recommend and only send out a few each week.

Here are our 2025 NFL player prop results:

10/14 Jacory Croskey-Merritt OVER 9.5 receiving yards -112 (LOSS)

10/13 Cade Otton OVER 30.5 receiving yards -115 (WIN)

10/13 Josh Jacobs OVER 12.5 receiving yards -118 (WIN)

10/6 Brashard Smith OVER 8.5 yards receiving -118 (WIN)

10/6 Tyquan Thornton OVER 12.5 yard receiving -110 (WIN)

10/5 Jacory Croskey-Merritt OVER 28.5 yards rushing -118 (WIN)

10/5 Marvin Harrison OVER 51.5 yards receiving -115 (WIN)

9/29 Darren Waller OVER 9.5 yards receiving -112 (WIN)

9/28 Jonathan Taylor OVER 11.5 yards receiving -110 (LOSS)

9/25 Tory Horton OVER 23.5 yards receiving -135 (LOSS)

9/21 Isiah Pacheco OVER 42.5 yard rushing -113 (WIN)

9/18 Dalton Kincaid OVER 33.5 yards receiving boosted to +134 (WIN)

9/18 Dalron Kincaid OVER 32.5 yards receiving -110 (WIN)

9/15 Nico Collins OVER 73.5 yards receiving -112 (LOSS)

9/14 Bijan Robinson OVER 23.5 yards receiving -112 (WIN)

9/11 Jacory Croskey-Merritt OVER 38.5 yards rushing -112 (LOSS)

9/7 Josh Allen & Lamar Jackson each 25+ yards rushing +150 (1/4 unit WIN)

9/8 Olamide Zaccheus OVER 21.5 yards receiving -112 (WIN)

2025 NFL Prop Record: 13-5 (72.2%)