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StatLogic Sports NFL Week 1 Power Ratings


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Week 1 of the 2025 National Football League season finally is here!


Here are our first StatLogic Sports National Football League regular-season power ratings for the 2025 season. Early in the season, before we have enough current data collected for straight numbers to be meaningful, these rankings are both information and numbers based.


We use all the information at our disposal, including the team’s performance last year, returning and lost players, coaching changes, recent injuries and more to create an initial ranking. From there we assign a rating to each team based on our preseason numerical data, sportsbook futures numbers, initial regular-season betting lines and market moves created by sharp betting action.


The number associated with each team is our first power rating of the regular season and can be the basis for analyzing projected betting lines and where there are potential betting edges.


The 49ers and Bills may be overvalued slightly based on the weakness of their schedules.


Buffalo grades out similarly even against tougher opponents, while San Francisco is likely to have an inflated number based on the quality of its schedule and historical performance. The Bills really didn't do much to improve the offensive weapons for Josh Allen other than to bring in often-injured receiver Josh Palmer from San Diego.


San Francisco traditionally has been a team that has exemplified a next-man-up mentality and been able to play well even as injuries have mounted. This year, however, the team's offensive depth will be tested. The 49ers should be fine as long as George Kittle, Christian McCaffrey and Ricky Pearsall remain helthy (When have CMC and Kittle remained healthy?), but it gets pretty thin beyond that. Jauan Jennings had a breakout year last year but has been injured in preseason and isn't happy with his salary. We have them rated lower than the market and books, but that's why we analyze many factors to provide as accurate a rating as possible.


With a healthy Matthew Stafford it is very likely that the Los Angeles Rams will finish above the 49ers in the power ratings despite possibly having a worse record. The market and books continue to rate the Rams as if Stafford will be fine, while we are taking a bit of a wait-and-see approach.


Most preseason ratings have the Texans ahead of Jacksonville, but we expect the Jaguars to more closely resemble the playoff team from two years ago than last year's group thanks to a new coaching staff, the emergence of second-year wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr., a healthy Trevor Lawrence, a deep backfield and the addition of Heisman Trophy-winning two-way threat Travis Hunter. In addition, Houston for some reason decided to make changes along its already-suspect offensive line by trading one of the best tackles in the game while adding some other pieces in hopes of better protecting quarterback C.J. Stroud. An interesting approach to say the least.


Washington getting Terry McLaurin back, Cincinnati signing Trey Hendrickson and the Micah Parson trade all have impacted our ratings as well as the market and sportsbook numbers.


Buffalo should roll through the weak AFC East without any issues this year, and the Ravens are the class of the AFC North since Cincinnati decided not to upgrade its defensive lineup.


It's still hard to bet against Kansas City in the AFC West after years of dominance, but the Chiefs clearly regressed offensively last season despite their 15 wins and were exposed by the Eagles in the Super Bowl. Do Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce have one more run in them? It's definitely possible, but both the Broncos with second-year QB Bo Nix and head coach Sean Payton are charging hard along with Jim Harbaugh, Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers. The market finally seems to be cooling a bit on the Chiefs, and we have seen them fall to fifth in our power ratings.


That division race may turn out to be the best in the NFL this year, although the NFL North could be even more exciting if Minnesota quarterback JJ McCarthy and Chicago signal-caller Caleb Williams perform up to their potential.


StatLogic Sports Week 1 NFL Power Ratings

updated Sept. 1


  1. Ravens - 100.0 (13-4)

  2. Eagles - 99.0 (13-4)

  3. Bills - 98.5 (13-4)

  4. Packers - 97.5 (12-5)

  5. Lions 97.5 (11-6)

  6. Chiefs - 97.0 (11-6)

  7. Commanders - 97.0 (11-6)

  8. Bengals- 96.5 (10-7)

  9. Broncos - 96.0 (10-7)

  10. Rams - 95.5 (10-7)

  11. 49ers - 95.5 (11-6)

  12. Buccaneers - 95.5 (11-6)

  13. Vikings - 95.0 (9-8)

  14. Chargers - 94.5 (10-7)

  15. Rams - 95.0 (10-7)

  16. Jaguars - 94.5 (10-7)

  17. Texans - 94.0 (9-8)

  18. Steelers - 93.5 (9-8)

  19. Cardinals - 93.5 (8-9)

  20. Bears - 93.0 (8-9)

  21. Seahawks - 92.5 (8-9)

  22. Falcons - 92.0 (8-9)

  23. Cowboys - 91.5 (7-10)

  24. Patriots - 91.0 (7-10)

  25. Dolphins - 91.0 (7-10)

  26. Colts - 90.5 (6-11)

  27. Raiders - 90.5 (6-11)

  28. Giants - 90.5 (5-11)

  29. Panthers - 90.0 (5-12)

  30. Titans 89.5 (4-13)

  31. Jets - 89.5 (4-13)

  32. Browns - 89.0 (3-14)

  33. Saints - 87.5 (2-15)

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