Betting NCAA college football bowl games has become a bit of a crap shoot given the proliferation of players entering the transfer portal and opting out of games for various reasons. Combine that with coaches heading off for greener pastures or getting canned with the other hijinks that often affects college sports as one semester ends and another approaches, and it's very challenging to find strong betting edges during the college football postseason.
The are out there, but because the guidelines and rules we use are so stringent, it is next to impossible for our model to generate recommended picks. And many of the indicators we use to determine edges also are out of whack because of the massive line moves and uncertainty surrounding player availability and coach status.
As bowl season and the College Football Playoff progress, however, with the matchups becoming more even on paper and a better base of knowledge surrounding which players will be playing - and more information available about backups and others who might be thrown into action - some solid edges and recommended picks start to surface.
That's where we are today, and we will try our best to provide our followers and clients with some strong recommendations and edges going forward.
Keep in mind that as far as our recommended selections are concerned, Superstar Picks have better than a 70-percent win probability according to our model, while All-Star Selections have a 60-percent or better win probability. Below the recommended picks are others that we felt had significant betting edges before we ran the numbers through our algorithm and applied our strenuous set of rules and guidelines to determine final win probabilities.
Our college football games with betting edges went 123-110-3 during the regular season. Keep in mind that these are not recommended picks, but serve as a starting point for us when narrowing our betting options each week.
We will update the recommended picks and contests with betting edges throughout the remainder of the bowl season.
StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for Dec. 27 - Jan. 2
Superstar Picks have a 70 or better win probability - TBD
StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for Dec. 27 - Jan. 2
All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability
Texas A&M money line -160 vs. USC (68%) - LOSS
Notre Dame money line -110 vs. Georgia (62%
StatLogic Sports NCAA College Football Postseason Betting Edges
Dec. 27 Vanderbilt +3 vs. Georgia Tech & OVER 49 - WIN/WIN
Texas Tech money line -135 vs. Arkansas - LOSS
UConn vs. North Carolina OVER 53.5 - LOSS
TCU -10 vs. Louisiana - WIN
Iowa State +4.5 vs. Miami - WIN
NC State -7 vs. East Carolina - LOSS
Colorado money line -160 vs. BYU - LOSS
Army -14 vs. Louisiana Tech - WIN
Arizona State buy to +14 -120 or +14.5 -130 vs. Texas
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