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StatLogic Sports Week 4 NFL Power Ratings, UPDATED Betting Edges & Parlay/Teaser Options

Updated: Sep 29

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Our Week 4 National Football League Power Ratings are complete, but there still can be minor tweaks and changes are more injury information is released for the Sunday and Monday games. The current ratings can be found below, and at the bottom of the page there also are some early betting edges, parlay and teaser options. These also will be updated so always check back before placing any wagers.


With each passing week as more current data is accumulated, the numbers become more accurate and provide a better snapshot of where the betting edges might be for that week's games. Last week we had our first client recommended pick and bonus bet, both of which were winners.


Week 3 Recap:

NFL Betting Edges: 6-5

NFL Money Line Parlay Options: 3-2

NFL Teaser Leg Options: 2-1

NFL Client Recommended Bet: 1-0

NFL Client Bonus Bet: 1-0


These power ratings are the starting point as far as determining our weekly recommended picks. It's one part of the equation that mostly includes our proprietary algorithm, which has predicted winners of college football, college basketball, NFL, MLB and NBA games at about a 65-percent success rate for the last two decades. We first determine where there may be betting edges before running those games through the algorithm.


We provide a lot of free information here to help bettors who crave more action make the best possible decisions with their money, but we only release our top recommended picks to our paying customers. Occasionally, we will release bonus bets that also go to our customers or narrowly miss the cut to be recommended selections here as a thank you for coming to our site. Sometimes these are sent only to clients and sometimes we make them public.


Our recommended picks must have at least a 65-percent win probability and meet a strict set of requirements before earning that distinction and being sent out to our customers. These are low-volume, investment-oriented selections that have returned an annual ROI equal to or exceeding what other potential investments traditionally yield. They are entirely based on the algorithm and the strict requirements we apply to each game. There is no human bias involved.


This is the approach that we recommend for our clients - a long-term, investment-based mindset that minimizes risk and maximizes their return on investment.


We realize there is a large market of more casual sports bettors who enjoy wagering on multiple games and the excitement of having action on several contests per day or on a weekly basis. While we don't condone or promote that type of betting behavior, we realize that it is a reality and post information here to help those bettors maximize their odds of being successful.


Any information supplied for that market is considered "bet at your own risk." We track the performance of those suggested edges but DO NOT recommend that approach.



StatLogic Sports Week 4 NFL Power Ratings

Rank

Team

Rating

1

Bills

99.9

2

Eagles

98.9

3

Ravens

98.4

4

Lions

98.2

5

Chargers

97.8

6

Packers

97.5

7

Rams

96.3

8

Commanders

95.5

9

Broncos

95.2

10

Colts

94.9

11

Vikings

94.7

12

Buccaneers

94.6

13

Chiefs

94.5

14

49ers

93.9

15

Seahawks

92.7

16

Cardinals

92.6

17

Jaguars

92.1

18

Texans

92.1

19

Bears

92

20

Falcons

91.9

21

Bengals

91.6

22

Steelers

91.6

23

Patriots

91.2

24

Cowboys

90.7

25

Raiders

90.6

26

Browns

90.5

27

Giants

89.8

28

Dolphins

89.7

29

Jets

89.6

30

Panthers

89.4

31

Titans

87.9

32

Saints

87


StatLogic Sports Week 4 NFL Betting Edges, Parlay Options & Teaser Options

Updated Sept. 28 at 11:45 a.m. ET


Thursday, Sept. 25

Cardinals +3.5 -155 vs. Seahawks (AZ -1.4)



Sunday, Sept. 28

Buccaneers +3.5 vs. Eagles (2.3) & UNDER 44.5

Panthers +5.5 (prefer +6) at Patriots (3.8)

Chargers -5.5 at Giants (6.5) & OVER 42.5

49ers money line -160 vs. Jaguars (4-3) & UNDER 47.5

Titans +7.5 at Texans (6.2)

Bears at Raiders OVER 47 or below (prefer 46.5 or below)

Ravens money line -145 at Chiefs


Monday, Sept. 29

Dolphins money line -150 vs. Jets (2.1) & UNDER 44.5

Bengals +7.5 at Broncos (5.3) & UNDER 44.5


Potential Money Line Parlay Options

Lions

Chargers

Packers

Rams


Teaser Leg Options (always keep odds at -120 or longer)

Panthers +5.5 to +10.5 or better

Bucs +3.5 to +9.5 or better

Titans +7.5 to +13 or better



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