Week 12 NFL DFS Fantasy Football Value Plays

By Gerry Love - SPM Fantasy Staff

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COVID, COVID, COVID. It’s all anyone talks about. Where have we heard that before (insert eye roll here)?

Well, unfortunately it’s become the number-one topic in the National Football League – as it already has been in the rest of the world – as the Ravens added their 20th player or staff member to their COVID list with the addition of tight end Mark Andrews. That comes a day after the Denver Broncos had to add all four of their quarterbacks to the virus list as the contact tracing process unfolds there.

On top of that, the injury hits keep coming and have resulted in changes in our top-value picks for Week 12 right up until the posting of this article at 10 a.m. EST Sunday.Playes expected to play key roles who have been ruled out in recent days include Jonathan Taylor, Tua Tagovailoa, Todd Gurley, James Conner, Kalen Ballage, Salvon Ahmed and on and on and on.

The Denver situation also forces DFS players to relive the Taysom Hill headache all over again. Last week Hill was listed as a tight end in FanDuel even though he had been named the starting QB for the New Orleans Saints. A dual threat at $4,500, Hill was an enticing prospect in the tight end slot, and he ended up being 75 to 80-percent owned in most FD formats. Hill came through to the tune of 24 points.

This week, unknown wide receiver Kendall Hinton, a QB in college at Wake Forest, steps in for Drew Lock in Denver. While we don’t recommend ignoring this situation – and it’s probably worth throwing him into a lineup or two given his relatively low price of $6,000 in FanDuel - as of this writing Hinton is NOT an option in Draft Kings.

Before pulling the trigger on Hinton, consider this: His salary takes up 10 percent of your $60,000 salary cap. Based on last year’s average FanDuel numbers we figure that a score of 170 points normally guarantees a nice pay day. Assuming that you need 150 or more to have a shot at winning any money, Hinton needs to score at least 15 points to justify that salary. But our goal here is to find players who will EXCEED their value.

It’s no slam dunk that a QB who hasn’t thrown a meaningful pass since college operating what is sure to be a simplistic game plan will score that many points. With so many great wide receiver options available this week at lower salaries, while it’s fine to take a shot on Hinton in a game or two, we wouldn’t count on him to be what we would consider a value selection or a core player.

Our Week 12 top-value picks, core player recommendations and value/stacked lineup suggestions can be found below. The information is updated as much as it can be at this point. Good luck!

Top DraftKings QB Value

1. Aaron Rodgers

2. Cam Newton

3. Ryan Fitzoatrick

4. Tom Brady

5. Matt Ryan

6. Taysom Hill

DrafKings Super Value QBs

1. Daniel Jones

2. Derek Carr

3. Carson Wentz

Top FanDuel QB Value

1. Cam Newton

2. Tom Brady

3. Daniel Jones

4. Ryan Fitzpatrick

5. Taysom Hill

6. Matt Ryan

FanDuel Super Value QB

1. Derek Carr

Top DraftKings RB1 Value

1. Nick Chubb

2. James Robinson

3. Miles Sanders

4. Mike Davis

5. Aaron Jones

Top FanDuel RB1 Value

1. Alvin Kamara

2. Nick Chubb

3. Derrick Henry

4. James Robinson

5. Josh Jacobs

6. Aaron Jones

7. Miles Sanders

Top DraftKings RB2 Value

1. Kareem Hunt

2. Wayne Gallman

3. Damien Harris

4. Austin Ekeler

5. Kenyan Drake

Top FanDuel RB2 Value

1. Karem Hunt

2. Mike Davis

3. Austin Ekeler

4. Kenyan Drake

5. Clyde Edwards-Helaire

FD & DK Top Value Flex RB Plays

1. Wayne Gallman - FD

2. Damien Harris – FD

3. Brian Hill – DK & FD

4. Nyheim Hines – DK & FD

5. David Montgomery – FD

6. Jordan Wilkins – DK & FD

7. Leonard Fournette – DK & FD

8. Zach Moss – DK & FD

Top DraftKings WR1 Value

1. Calvin Ridley

2. Cooper Kupp

3. Tyler Lockett

4. Julio Jones

5. Allen Robinson

Top FanDuel WR1 Value

1. Calvin Ridley

2. Michael Thomas

3. Tyler Lockett

4. Julio Jones

5. Stefon Diggs

Top DraftKings WR2 Value

1. Robert Woods

2. DJ Moore

3. DeVante Parker

4. Robby Anderson

Top FanDuel WR2 Value

1. Cooper Kupp

2. Allen Robinson

3. Robert Woods

4. DeVante Parker

5. Robby Anderson

WR3/Flex Value WR Plays FD & DK

1. Curtis Samuel

2. Sterling Shepard

3. Tyler Boyd

4. Michael Pittman Jr.

5. Jakobi Meyers

6. Tee Higgins – FD only

Super Value Flex WR Plays FD & DK

1. Damiere Byrd

2. Keelan Cole

3. Henry Ruggs

4. Josh Reynolds – DK only

Tee Higgins – DK only

Top DraftKings TE Plays

1. Hunter Henry

2. Evan Engram

3. Hayden Hurst

4. Rob Gronkowski

Top FanDuel TE Plays

1. Hunter Henry

2. Evan Engram

3. Hayden Hurst

4. Rob Gronkowski

Super Value TE Plays

1. Robert Tonyan

2. Trey Burton

3. Jordan Reed

Week 10 Suggested Core Players & Lineups

DraftKings Players to Consider in All Lineups

RB – Nick Chubb, WR – Calvin Ridley TE – Hayden Hurst, D - Colts

FanDuel Players to Consider in All Lineups

RB – Alvin Kamara, WR – Calvin Ridley, TE – Hunter Henry, D – Titans

DraftKings Value Lineup

QB – Cam Newton

RB – Nick Chubb

RB – James Robinson

WR – Calvin Ridley

WR – DJ Moore

WR – Jakobi Meyers

TE – Hayden Hurst

Flex – Nyheim Hines

D – Colts

FanDuel Value Lineup

QB – Cam Newton

RB – Alvin Kamara

RB – James Robinson

WR – Calvin Ridley

WR – DJ Moore

WR – DeVante Parker

TE – Hayden Hurst

Flex – Damiere Byrd

D – Titans

DraftKings Stacked Lineup

QB – Daniel Jones

RB – Nick Chubb

RB – Josh Jacobs

WR – Stefon Diggs

WR – DJ Moore

WR – Sterling Shepard

TE – Hayden Hurst

Flex – Wayne Gallman

D – Titans

FanDuel Stacked Lineup

QB – Justin Herbert

RB – Alvin Kamara

RB – Josh Jacobs

WR – Keenan Allen

WR – Nelson Agholor

WR – Robby Anderson

TE – Hunter Henry

Flex – Wayne Gallman

D – Titans

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