Well, we've made it to the first check point of the 2024-25 season.
For lack of a better term, even though several mid-major conference tournaments are underway and one league champion and NCAA Tournament auto bid has been determined, today marks the end of the college hoops regular season. Congratulations to Southern Illinois University Edwardsville on capturing the Ohio Valley championship and earning a first-ever invite to the Big Dance. The first of many great stories to unfold over the next six weeks.
Actually, a second automatic bid was determined last night when St. Thomas defeated North Dakota, but it won't be the Tommies heading to the NCAA Tournament. Nope, the Tommies haven't had Division I status long enough to be considered worthy by basketball's Big Brother, so instead Nebraska Omaha will make its first tourney appearance.
There's a catch, however, as those two teams still will lock horns Sunday with the Summit League championship on the line in what should be a spirited and high-level final.
So, we are two for two, with a pair of first-timers qualifying for the tourney.
Another league championship and auto-bid is at stake today when Drake, a popular amateur bracketologist pick to earn a bid no matter what (don't agree), takes on a Bradley team that already has beaten the regular-season Missouri Valley champs once. For what it's worth, nine straight MVC Tournament games have gone UNDER the total, but we digress.
Bradley is very good. So is Drake, which is not guaranteed of anything with a loss in the finals. That should make for a great championship game dripping with all the drama and tension that makes March Madness so special. The Braves are 4-point dogs at some books, but keep in mind that they don't have to worry about being on the "bubble" and costing themselves a bid with a loss, so they should be able to let it rip and just play. Bradley is dangerous, but it's too close to invest in that contest.
The only other game today with bubble implications is Nebraska's home finale against Iowa. The Cornhuskers have to win, period, but if they do there still will be more work left if they are going to crash the party. Nebraska likely would face 12th-seeded Rutgers as the Big Ten Tournament's No. 13 seed Wednesday and would need to win that game and likely knock off Wisconsin and UCLA after that to have a legitimate shot.
NOTE: WITH THEIR LOSS TODAY NEBRASKA IS OUT OF THE BIG TEN TOURNAMENT. HOW WERE THEY EVEN CONSIDERED A BUBBLE TEAM?
Stranger things have happened, but that's what makes March hoops so great.
As we wrap up the regular season today, we are proud to have documented more than 1,500 games with "betting edges" this season, with those edges proving accurate 57 percent of the time. They've won at a 58-percent clip for the last two months. Meanwhile, our "Parlay City" options have won at a 73.3 percent rate in 2025. And for the last two decades our top-level recommended picks have won about 70 percent of the time.
Check it all out below, along with today's picks, parlays and edges. Any recommended picks will be added when available.
Friendly Daily Reminder
When you read through today's information, keep in mind that we are extremely selective with our recommended picks as they need to have at least a 60-percent win probability or better according to our proprietary algorithm and also must pass through a stringent set of rules and parameters that we consider for each matchup. In our daily posts, you will find our recommended bets as well as games that don't quite make the cut to be recommended and which might make solid parlay options and other games where we believe there are edges favoring one side.
Parlays always will have a lower win probability than straight bets, but there are times that a parlay will meet our requirements and be recommended. We realize that many sports bettors prefer not to bet very short odds that approach and exceed -200, so as we strive to provide as much information and help as many people as possible, we do provide suggest parlay options that are strong bets and don't quite make the cut for us as recommended selections. We also may present other games that have betting edges but also don't quite meet our high standards to be recommended picks.
Our college basketball betting edges have performed well, hovering between 55 and 58 percent over a large sample size since early November, and our parlay options have been extremely successful as you can see below.
StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for 3/9
Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability
N/A
StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for 3/9
All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability
Oregon & UNCW money line parlay at -125 - WIN
StatLogic Sports Bonus Bets for 3/9
NBA
Sacramento Kings +6 at LA Clippers
Parlay City
While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edges.
Our potential money line parlay games from Jan. 4-6 were 19-1 ... they have gone 384-138 (73.6%) since Jan. 4 and were 18-2 Jan. 14-15. They were 14-1 overall Feb. 4-5 (college hoops went 12-0 those two days). On Feb. 11 they were 13-0, and for Feb. 11-13 combined they were 31-2. We closed out college hoops regular season on a 21-3 run with our parlay options.
Potential CBB Money Line Parlay Options for 3/9
Nebraska - LOSS
Oregon - WIN
UNC Wilmington - WIN
Montana - WIN
Towson - WIN
San Francisco - WIN
High Point - WIN
NBA:
Philadelphia 76ers - WIN
StatLogic Sports NCAA College Basketball Betting Edges 3/9
Michigan +8 at Michigan State - LOSS
Minnesota +5.5 at Rutgers - LOSS
Tulsa +11.5 at Wichita State - WIN
Tulane +3.5 vs. UAB - WIN
Towson money line -175 vs. Drexel - WIN
William & Mary money line -160 vs. Delaware - LOSS
UTSA +3.5 at Charlotte - WIN
VMI +9.5 vs. Wofford - LOSS
South Alabama +5.5 vs. Arkansas State - WIN
Troy -125 money line vs. James Madison - WIN
Weber State +12.5 vs. Northern Colorado - LOSS
San Francisco money line -170 vs. Washington State
Omaha +4.5 vs. St. Thomas - WIN
North Alabama +5 vs. Lipscomb - LOSS
East Carolina +5.5 at Florida Atlantic - LOSS
NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edges
Final Regular-Season Record:
875-662-19 (56.9%)
March 9 Record: 7-7
March 8 Record: 10-6
March 7 Record: 9-5
March 6 Record: 8-8
March 5 Record: 7-5
March 4 Record: 13-6
March 3 Record: 3-1
March 2 Record: 7-3
March 1 Record: 17-14
Feb. 28 Record: 6-5
Feb. 27 Record: 4-3
Feb. 26 Record: 9-7
Feb. 25 Record: 10-6
Feb. 24 Record: 5-2
Feb. 23 Record: 6-2-1
Feb. 22 Record: 13-13
Feb. 21 Record: 5-2
Feb. 20 Record: 4-7
Feb. 19 Record: 8-8
Feb. 18 Record: 3-6
Feb. 17 Record: 3-1
Feb. 16 Record: 5-2
Feb. 15 Record: 23-14-2
Feb. 14 Record: 5-2
Feb. 13 Record: 9-5
Feb. 12 Record: 8-7-1
Feb. 11 Record: 11-3
Feb. 10 Record: 4-0
Feb. 9 Record: Off Day
Feb. 8 Record: 17-17-1
Feb. 7 Record: 1-3
Feb. 6 Record: 7-8
Feb. 5 Record: 14-8-1
Feb. 4 Record: 9-8
Feb. 3 Record: 8-5
Feb. 2 Record: 3-3
Feb. 1 Record: 20-19-1
Jan. 31 Record: 6-3
Jan. 30 Record: 13-5-1
Jan. 29 Record; 15-12-1
Jan. 28 Record: 13-7
Jan. 27 Record: 8-1
Jan. 26 Record: 0-4
Jan. 25 Record: 21-17
Jan. 24 Record: 3-4
Jan. 23 Record: 8-6
Jan. 22 Record: 7-10
Jan. 21 Record: 12-6-1
Jan. 20 Record: 6-3
Jan. 19 Record: 2-4
Jan. 18 Record: 20-14
Jan. 17 Record: 6-4
Jan. 16 Record: 15-6
Last 7 days 57-38 (60.0%)
Last 52 days: 461-330 (58.3%)
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