StatLogic Sports Week 11 NFL Power Ratings with Betting Edges & Parlay Options

Our Week 11 National Football League Power Ratings are complete and can be found below, but there still can be minor tweaks and changes as more injury and other game information is released ahead of the Sunday and Monday games.

Changes become more likely and frequent as injuries to key players across the league continue to mount and more injury information becomes public, so make sure to check back frequently.

The current ratings can be found below, and at the bottom of the page there also are some early betting edges and parlay options. These also will be updated as the week progresses, so always check back before placing any wagers.

With each passing week as more current data is accumulated, the numbers generally become more accurate and provide a better snapshot of where the betting edges might be for that week's games.

So far this year, there has been extremely high volatility in betting lines and power ratings because of the number of injuries to key players as well as the surprise injuries that were not initially made public but have popped up on late-week injury reports or even on game days.

Teams with many injuries to key players such as the Ravens, Bengals and Commanders have plummeted from near the top to the middle or lower, while the Ravens now are back near the top after three straight wins with Lamar Jackson and other players returning.

Washington continues to lose key players to injury and has dropped to nearly the bottom of the pack now after a historically bad month with a horrific defense. The Commanders were a top-five team just over a month ago with a 3-2 record and coming off a lopsided win on the road vs. the Chargers, but now they are one of the league's worst teams as currently constructed.. Meanwhile, the Bengals had leveled off with a competent starting QB in Joe Flacco, but he was injured in a bad loss vs. the Jets and then Cincinnati's defense blew a game they appeared to have won vs. the Bears two weeks ago.

The 49ers have been decimated by injuries all year, but as usual they have managed a way to stay relevant and in the postseason hunt. Just as it looked like maybe the injuries were catching up with them, they appear on the verge of getting starting QB Brock Purdy and No. 1 wide receiver Ricky Pearsall. back. If that is confirmed it will impact their rating for sure. That's why we ask everyone to check back frequently between now and kickoff Sunday.

Other beat-up teams such as the Buccaneers and Lions have shown amazing resilience and maintained there places near the top, but Tampa Bay was overmatched vs. those same Lions recently as Baker Mayfield's performance finally suffered. The Cowboys had shown signs of life before suffering some bad losses, but Jerry Jones made a few desperation trades at the deadline while pretending that losing Micah Parsons has had no impact on the team.

Our betting edges did not perform well given that volatile climate for a few weeks, so we took a step back and examined our process and decided to be a little more conservative until we were more confident in our numbers and they could adjust to the current rosters of healthy players. As always, the goal is to maximize the odds of winning bets and realize a positive ROI over the long term.

After a rough couple of weeks for our NFL betting edges, they bounced back in Weeks 6-10 to go 20-10 and our recommended clients bets ( Raiders, Packers, Patriots and Bears) those weeks on the money line also were winners.

Last week, our betting edges were 5-0, while our money-line parlay options went 4-0 and are now 13-1 the past three weeks. Our Prime Time Props, which mostly are posted on our Twitter/X and BlueSky accounts, had been red hot but took a bit of a step back and are now a very good 24-13 overall this year (21-11 NFL; 3-2 NBA).

These power ratings are the starting point as far as determining our weekly recommended picks. It's one part of the equation that mostly includes our proprietary algorithm, which has predicted winners of college football, college basketball, NFL, MLB and NBA games at about a 65-percent success rate for the last two decades. We first determine where there may be betting edges before running those games through the algorithm.

We provide a lot of free information here to help bettors who crave more action make the best possible decisions with their money, but we only release our top recommended picks to our paying customers. Occasionally, we will release bonus bets that also go to our customers or narrowly miss the cut to be recommended selections here as a thank you for coming to our site. Sometimes these are sent only to clients and sometimes we make them public.

Our recommended picks must have at least a 65-percent win probability and meet a strict set of requirements before earning that distinction and being sent out to our customers. These are low-volume, investment-oriented selections that have returned an annual ROI equal to or exceeding what other potential investments traditionally yield. They are entirely based on the algorithm and the strict rules and guidelines we apply to each game. There is no human bias involved.

This is the approach that we recommend for our clients - a long-term, investment-based mindset that minimizes risk and maximizes their return on investment.

We realize there is a large market of more casual sports bettors who enjoy wagering on multiple games and the excitement of having action on several contests per day or on a weekly basis. While we don't condone or promote that type of betting behavior, we realize that it is a reality and post information here to help those bettors maximize their odds of being successful.

Any information supplied for that market is considered "bet at your own risk." We track the performance of those suggested edges but DO NOT recommend that approach. Take a look at our Prime Time Prop Results and this week's NFL Power Ratings are below that:

Stat Logic Sports Week 11 NFL Power Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Rams	99.8
2	Chiefs	99.7
3	Seahawks	98.7
4	Lions	98.5
5	Colts	97.5
6	Eagles	97.5
7	Ravens	97.3
8	Bills	97.0
9	Patriots	96.9
10	Chargers	96.8
11	Packers	95.3
12	Buccaneers	94.3
13	49ers	94.0
14	Broncos	93.6
15	Texans	92.7
16	Bears	92.2
17	Steelers	93.3
18	Vikings	92.2
19	Jaguars	91.6
20	Falcons	91.1
21	Cowboys	91.1
22	Cardinals	90.7
23	Dolphins	90.4
24	Bengals	89.9
25	Panthers	89.6
26	Commanders	89.0
27	Giants	88.5
28	Saints	87.6
29	Browns	87.4
30	Raiders	86.8
31	Jets	86.6
32	Titans	86.1

StatLogic Sports Week 11 NFL Betting Edges & Parlay Options

Thursday, November 13

Our spread for TNF is Patriots -12.8. As kickoff nears, we see most lines at -13 with a few 13.5. We would only considering betting this game at +14.5 or better. It's -140 now. That number is an edge, but the odds are not. Just providing some info. No edge for Thursday night at the current numbers/odds.

Final score of this game was 27-14. We had Patriots winning by 12.8.

Week 11 Client Investement Longterm ROI Pick:

Steelers money line -240 vs. Bengals

Money Line Parlay Options

Falcons

Steelers

Sunday, November 16

Giants +7.5 vs. Packers (5.2)

Titans +6 vs. Texas (5.0)

Vikings money line -148 vs. Bears (2.6)

Chargers money line -150 at Jaguars (2.9)