StatLogic Sports NCAA College Basketball Postseason Positions 3.0: Power Ratings & Betting Edges

Updated April 7 at 9:30 a.m. EDT

The third week of NCAA college basketball's postseason brings us the Big Dance, the NIT and the College Crown. That means it's time for version 3.0 of the StatLogic Sports Postseason Positions, including power ratings, betting edges and parlay options.

After a slow start during the smaller conference tournaments, we ramped it up quite a bit for Bracket Week/Championship Week or whatever you want to call it.

We just call it Winning Week.

Check out our postseason college hoops results to date:

NCAA CBB Postseason Money Line Parlay Options:

54-18 (75.0%)

NCAA CBB Postseason Betting Edges:

59-34 (63.4%) - 32-11 since March 11 (74.4%)

Now, let's throw it back to 2025 to see how we did during the postseason a year ago:

24-25 Postseason College Basketball Record:

CBB Parlay Options: 56-7 (88.9%)

24-25 Postseason CBB Betting Edges: 58-31-1 (65.2%)

     Final 7 Betting Days: 17-5 (77.3%)

     Final 64 Betting Days: 519-363 (58.8%)

24-25 Postseason CBB Bonus Picks: 14-3 (82.4%)

Some basic math indicates that our postseason betting edges are 117-65-1 the last two years, good for a 64.3 percent success rate. Money line parlay options have gone a remarkable 110-25-1 (85.9%).

March and April have been our winningest months in previous years, and our results have only improved during the NCAA, NIT and other national tournaments. So, while we will be hard-pressed to improve upon this year's postseason results to date, if we are able to do that again it could be a lucrative college hoops tournament season for us and anyone who tails.

Please join us. Win or lose, it's one of the best times of the year for sports fans.

Our weekly betting edges and parlay options for the remainder of the college hoops postseason are and will be posted below the Significant 76 Power Ratings. Our ratings have been updated weekly since early, and we will continue to post new money line parlay options and betting edges daily at the bottom of this page!

Here is a friendly reminder for those who only recently joined the college hoops party since the conclusion of the NFL season: Keep in mind that the same is true for many of the betting "analysts" we are exposed to on a regular basis, so there's no guarantee that they know any more about the current state of college hoops than you or any of the rest of us. Be careful when taking advice from others who just happen to have a platform and a bunch of social-media followers or who get paid to talk and entertain us.

On the other hand, here at StatLogic Sports we have followed college hoops since Day 1 of the season way back in November and literally have entered and charted EVERY SINGLE RESULT into our system by hand. For the past two complete NCAA college basketball seasons, the betting edges and parlay options that we have posted throughout those campaigns have been accurate at a profitable rate with a sample size of around 3,000 games.

Our money line parlay options during that span have been correct at nearly a 75-percent rate, while our betting edges have proven to be winners at nearly a 60-percent rate. As we noted above, those numbers have only gotten better during the postseason.

Two years ago we finished the March-April college hoops postseason stretch up 15 units. We can quantify last year's results in a little more detail:

2025-26 Regular Season Breakdown

Back in December we posted our first published betting edges of the season and parlay options via our Twitter/X account. That day our betting edges were 29-9-1 and our money line parlay options went 7-3. Obviously, it was a good day and not every one will be that successful.

The following week we posted our college basketball edges and parlay options here on the website for the first time this season. Prior to publishing our first edges and parlay options of the season, we spent six-plus weeks testing our numbers and tweaking our process. During that test phase, our betting edges won at a 56.2-percent rate over a sample size of more than 450 games, while the parlay options were 75-25 (75 percent).

With so many games and quick turnaround times during the postseason, anything that we don't have time to post here will be posted (along with other advice and info) on Twitter/X and BlueSky, so make sure to give us a follow. Ultimately we will transfer all of those selections to this page for posterity.

Here is a look back at how we have done recently:

StatLogic Sports NCAA CBB Betting Edges & Parlay Options: March 4-10 Results

Money Line Parlay Options: 30-14 (68.1%)

Betting Edges: 37-21 (63.4%)

StatLogic Sports NCAA CBB Betting Edges & Parlay Options: Feb. 25 - March 3 Results

Money Line Parlay Options: 34-6 (85.0%)

Betting Edges: 41-33 (55.4%)

StatLogic Sports NCAA CBB Betting Edges & Parlay Options: Feb. 18-24 Results

Money Line Parlay Options: 35-15 (70.0%)

Betting Edges: 39-24 (61.9%)

StatLogic Sports NCAA CBB Betting Edges & Parlay Options: Feb. 11-17 Results

Money Line Parlay Options: 53-11 (82.8%)

Betting Edges: 47-32 (59.5%)

StatLogic Sports NCAA CBB Betting Edges & Parlay Options: Feb. 4-10 Results

Money Line Parlay Options: 37-18 (67.3%)

Betting Edges: 56-35 (61.5%)

A summary of our NCAA College Basketball year to date:

StatLogic Sports 2025-26 NCAA CBB Betting Edges & Parlay Options to Date:

Published Parlay Options: 480-150 (76.2%)

Overall Parlay Options Including Test Period: 533-185 (74.2%)

Published Betting Edges: 670-410-4 (62.0%)

Overall Betting Edges Including Test Period: 886-604-11 (59.5%)

And a summary of our NCAA College Basketball results from last year:

2024-25 NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edges

Final Regular-Season Record:

875-662-19 (56.9%)

2024-25 Postseason CBB Money Line Parlay Options: 56-7 (88,9%)

We opened the postseason on a 29-4 run. The final 24 college basketball parlay options were winners (March 21 - April 2).

2024-25 Regular Season Parlay Options:

They went 384-138 (73.6%) from Jan. 14-15 until early March. From Jan. 4-6 they were 19-1 and were 14-1 overall Feb. 4-5 (college hoops went 12-0 those two days). On Feb. 11 they were 13-0, and for Feb. 11-13 combined they were 31-2. We closed out college hoops regular season on a 21-3 run.

For the regular season and postseason, our hoops parlay options went 440-185 (75.2%).

24-25 Postseason College Basketball Record:

CBB Parlay Options: 56-7 (88.9%)

24-25 Postseason CBB Betting Edges: 58-31-1 (65.2%)

     Final 7 Betting Days: 17-5 (77.3%)

     Final 64 Betting Days: 519-363 (58.8%)

24-25 Postseason CBB Bonus Picks: 14-3 (82.4%)

24-25 Overall CBB 2024-25 Betting Edge Record:

933-693-20 (57.4%)

StatLogic Sports Significant 76 as of March 17, 2026

Rank	Team	Rate
1	Duke	100.00
2	Michigan	99.70
3	Arizona	99.50
4	Florida	98.80
5	Houston	97.80
6	Iowa State	97.50
7	Illinois	97.00
8	UConn	95.70
9	Purdue	95.50
10	St. John's	95.00
11	Arkansas	94.80
12	Gonzaga	94.70
13	Vanderbilt	94.50
14	Alabama	94.00
15	Michigan State	93.70
16	Tennessee	93.40
17	Virginia	93.20
18	Nebraska	92.60
19	Texas Tech	92.40
20	Wisconsin	92.40
21	Louisville	92.20
22	Kansas	92.10
23	BYU	91.70
24	Iowa	91.50
25	Kentucky	91.00
26	Miami	90.50
27	St. Mary's	90.50
28	Clemson	89.90
29	North Carolina	89.80
30	Utah State	89.50
31	Georgia	89.20
32	UCLA	89.20
33	Villanova	89.20
34	NC State	89.10
35	Ohio State	89.10
36	Texas	88.70
37	Texas A&M	88.70
38	St. Louis	88.60
39	Missouri	88.40
40	Auburn	88.30
41	Indiana	87.90
42	Santa Clara	87.60
43	Cincinnati	87.50
44	Oklahoma	87.40
45	SMU	87.20
46	USF	87.20
47	TCU	87.10
48	Seton Hall	86.60
49	VCU	86.60
50	San Diego State	86.40
51	Baylor	86.00
52	Florida State	85.90
53	Washington	85.30
54	Virginia Tech	84.70
55	West Virginia	84.70
56	UCF	84.60
57	New Mexico	84.00
58	Creighton	83.90
59	Mississippi	83.70
60	Stanford	83.60
61	Marquette	83.30
62	Providence	83.30
63	Georgetown	83.10
64	High Point	83.10
65	Dayton	83.00
66	Akron	82.90
67	McNeese State	82.90
68	Arizona State	82.80
69	Grand Canyon	82.70
70	Boise State	82.60
71	Belmont	82.50
72	Minnesota	82.50
73	Wake Forest	82.30
74	Colorado	82.20
75	Northwestern	82.20
76	Butler	82.10

The information below will be updated throughout the week and can change based on available information so check back often!

Updated April 7 at 9:30 a.m. EDT

NCAA First Four March 17-18

Money Line Parlay Options

SMU - LOSS

Betting Edges

Lehigh money line -155 vs. Prairie View A&M (4.7) - LOSS

StatLogic First Four Numbers

Howard -0.2 vs. UMBC

NC State -0.4 vs. Texas

Lehigh -4.7 vs. Prairie View A&M

SMU -6.7 vs. Miami

NIT First Round March 17-18

Money Line Parlay Options

Yale - LOSS

Wichita State - WIN

California - WIN

Dayton WIN

Betting Edges

Liberty +5 at George Mason (3.0) - WIN

Seattle money line -130 vs. St. Thomas (2.3) - WIN

Navy +12.5 at Wake Forest (11.1) - WIN

Dayton money line -130 at Bradley (2.1) - WIN

New Mexico -11.5 vs. Sam Houston State (12.8) - WIN

St. Joseph's +6.5 at Nevada (5.2) - WIN

NCAA First Round March 19-20

Money Line Parlay Options

Texas Tech - WIN

Wisconsin - LOSS

Vanderbilt - WIN

Nebraska - WIN

UNC.- LOSS BYU - LOSS

UCLA - WIN

St. John's - WIN

Betting Edges

Siena +28.5 vs. Duke (27.2) - WIN

Ohio State money line -140 vs. TCU (2.0) - LOSS

North Carolina money line -140 vs. VCU (3.2) - LOSS

Nebraska -12.5 vs. Troy (17.2) -WIN

Wisconsin -9.5 vs. High Point (11.3) - LOSS

St. Louis +2 vs. Georgia (0.6) - WIN

Texas Tech -7.5 vs. Akron (9.5) - WIN

Alabama -11.5 vs. Hofstra (14.3) - WIN

UConn -20 vs. Furman (22.2) - LOSS

Kentucky money line -150 vs. Santa Clara (3.4) - WIN

St. John's -9.5 vs. Northern Iowa (13.6) - WIN

BYU money line -135 vs. Texas (2.9) - LOSS

Tennessee -11 vs. Miami Ohio (12.1) - WIN

StatLogic NCAA First Round Numbers

Louisville -5.0 vs. USF

Michigan State -16.6 vs North Dakota State

Georgia -0.6 vs. St. Louis

Duke -27.2 vs. Siena

Ohio State -2.0 vs. TCU

North Carolina -3.2 vs. VCU

Illinois -22.4 vs. Penn

Vanderbilt -11.6 vs. McNeese State

Nebraska -17.2 vs. Troy

St. Mary's -1.8 vs. Texas A&M

Houston -25.6 vs. Idaho

Wisconsin -11.3 vs. High Point

Arkansas -14.5 vs. Hawaii

Gonzaga -20.0 vs. Kennesaw State

Texas Tech -9.5 vs. Akron

Alabama -14.3 vs. Hofstra

Iowa -1.6 vs. Clemson

UCLA -4.7 vs. UCF

UConn -22.2 vs. Furman

Virginia -19.1 vs. Wright State

Miami -2.1 vs. Missouri

Purdue -24.6 vs. Queens

Kentucky -3.4 vs. Santa Clara

Iowa State -26.7 vs. Tennessee State

St. John's -13.6 vs. Northern Iowa

Kansas -15.4 vs. Cal Baptist

Arizona -30.9 vs. LIU-Brooklyn

Utah State -0.3 vs. Villanova

Tennessee -12.1 vs. Miami Ohio

Michigan -29.5 vs. Howard

BYU -2.9 vs. Texas

Florida -37.7 vs. Prairie View

NCAA Second Round Round March 21-22

Money Line Parlay Options

Michigan State - WIN

Houston - WIN

Gonzaga - LOSS

Arkansas - WIN

Illinois - WIN

UConn - WIN

Purdue - WIN

St. John's - WIN

Iowa State - WIN

Betting Edges

St. Louis +13.5 vs. Michigan (11.0) - LOSS

Nebraska +2.5 vs. Vanderbilt (1.4) - WIN

Texas +6.5 vs. Gonzaga (5.0) - WIN

Louisville +6 vs. Michigan State (2.0) - LOSS

Iowa +10.5 vs. Florida (7.6) - WIN

UConn -4 vs. UCLA (6.5) - WIN

St. John's money line -165 vs. Kansas (3.0) - WIN

StatLogic NCAA Second Round Numbers

Michigan State -2.0 vs. Louisville

Michigan -10.7 vs. St. Louis

Duke -12.7 vs. TCU Illinois -10.2 vs. VCU

Vanderbilt -1.4 vs. Nebraska

Houston -9.0 vs. Texas A&M

Arkansas -11.2 vs. High Point

Gonzaga -5.0 vs. Texas

Purdue -5.9 vs. Miami

Iowa State -6.6 vs. Kentucky

St. John's -3.0 vs. Kansas

Tennessee -0.4 vs. Virginia

Florida -7.6 vs. Iowa

Arizona -10.2 vs. Utah State

UConn -6.5 vs. UCLA

Alabama -1.1 vs. Texas Tech

NIT Second Round Round March 21-22

Money Line Parlay Options

Nevada - WIN

Dayton - WIN

Wake Forest - LOSS

Tulsa - WIN

California - LOSS

Betting Edges

Auburn -13.5 vs. Seattle (15.8) - LOSS

NCAA Sweet 16 Projections - March 26

Houston -2.5 vs. Illinois

Nebraska -1.3 vs. Iowa

Purdue -6.0 vs. Texas

Arizona -5.5 vs. Arkansas

Money Line Parlay Options

Purdue - WIN

Arizona - WIN

Betting Edges

Arkansas +8.5 (5.5) - LOSS

Early NCAA Sweet 16 Projections - March 27

Duke -5.6 vs. St. John's

UConn -2.4 vs. Michigan State

Michigan -6.3 vs. Alabama

Iowa State -3.7 vs. Tennessee

Money Line Parlay Options

Iowa State - LOSS

Duke - WIN

Betting Edges

Alabama +10.5 vs. Michigan (6.3) - LOSS

We bet this Sunday night. It's now at +9/8.5 - still some value but wait for in-game more favorable number.

St. John's +7 (5.6) vs. Duke - WIN

NIT Quarterfinals March 25

Money Line Parlay Options

Dayton - LOSS

Auburn - WIN

Betting Edges

N/A

NCAA Elite Eight Projections - March 28-29

Illinois -5.1 vs. Iowa

Arizona -3.9 vs. Purdue

Michigan -6.2 vs. Tennessee

Duke -3.9 vs. UConn

Money Line Parlay Options

Michigan - WIN

Betting Edges

Iowa +7 vs. Illinois (5.1) - LOSS

Purdue +6 vs. Arizona (3.9) - LOSS

UConn +5.5 vs. Duke (3.9) - WIN

NCAA Final Four Projections - April 4

Illinois -0.5 vs. UConn

Michigan -0.8 vs. Arizona

NCAA Final Four Money Line Parlay Options

TBD

NCAA Final Four Betting Edges

Arizona +1.5 vs. Michigan (0.8) - LOSS

Illinois money line -115 vs. UConn (0.5) - LOSS

NIT/College Crown Parlay Options April 1-2 Auburn - WIN

Creighton - WIN

NIT/College Crown Betting Edges April 1-2

Colorado +6.5 vs. Oklahoma (5.1) - WIN

Tulsa +4 vs. New Mexico (2.3) - WIN

Auburn -6.5 vs. Illinois State (8.3) - WIN

West Virginia +1.5 vs. Stanford (WVU -0.6) - WIN

NIT/College Crown Parlay Options April 3-5

Auburn - WIN (vs. Creighton)

Auburn vs. Tulsa (5.5) - WIN

NIT/College Crown Betting Edges April 3-5

West Virginia money line -115 vs. Creighton (0.9) - WIN

West Virginia +4 vs. Oklahoma (2.0) - WIN

NCAA Championship Game Projection

Michigan -4.3 vs. UConn

NCAA Championship Game Betting Edge

UConn +7.5 (4.3) vs. Michigan - WIN

Stat-Logic Sports 2026 NCAA CBB Postseason Summary

NCAA First & Second Round Parlay Options: 13-5

NCAA First & Second Round Betting Edges: 13-8

NIT First& Second Round Parlay Options: 6-3

NIT First & Second Round Betting Edges: 6-1

CBB Overall Postseason Money Line Parlay Options:

82-28 (74.5%)

CBB Overall Postseason Betting Edges:

87-49 (64.0%) - 64-26 since March 11 (71.1%)