Updated Jan. 12 4:05 p.m. EST
Below are our StatLogic Sports NFL Postseason Power Rankings along with our Wildcard Weekend betting edges, picks and actual point-spread projections down to the final decimal.
Part of our rankings process includes moving teams up and down in the initial phase each week based on game results, injuries and other information. Once that part of the process is done, we run the relevant numbers through our algorithm that projects winners and totals then add the input of bookmakers and the sharp betting market. Finally, as the week progresses, we track the injury reports, sharp line moves and other breaking news and put each of the week's matchups through a rigorous set of rules and guidelines to get a composite number that is unaltered.
Advanced stats, coaches' in-game decision-making, recent form, depth after injuries and many other factors are considered before the final numbers are produced. We feel that is important to understand that they are based on a formula and process, not on the opinion of any one person or group of people. The teams we think may be undervalued or overvalued are listed below the rankings along with games where we feel there might be a betting edge as of Friday. The edges continue to be tweaked and updated until games kick off, so check back with us daily.
The games where we see potential betting edges and this week's recommended picks also are listed or will be added below as well as some potential money line parlay and teaser legs. The rankings are where our process starts and how we begin to narrow down games as potential recommended All-Star or Superstar picks. All-Star Picks have a 60-percent or better win probability. Superstar Selections have a win probability of 70 percent or higher.
StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for NFL Wildcard Weekend
Eagles money line -236 vs. Packers (72% win probability) - WIN
StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for NFL Wildcard Weekend
Eagles money line with Broncos alt spread +14 at -104 (68%) - LOSS
StatLocic Sports NFL Postseason Power Rankings
Updated Jan. 12 4:05 p.m. EST
Lions - 100.0
Ravens - 99.5
Chiefs - 99.0
Bills - 98.5
Eagles - 98.5
Vikings - 98.0
Commanders - 97.0
Buccaneers - 97.0
Rams - 96.0
Texans - 95.5
Packers - 95.5
Chargers - 95.0
Broncos - 94.5
Steelers - 94.0
Possibly Undervalued
Packers, Broncos, Texans
StatLogic Sports Wildcard Weekend Projected Margins
Ravens -8.125 vs. Steelers
Bills -6.25 vs. Broncos
Vikings -3.34 vs. Rams
Eagles -5.96 vs. Packers
Buccaneers -1.17 vs. Commanders
Chargers -1.2 vs. Texans
Potential Money Line Parlay/Teaser Options
Eagles - MLP (WIN)
Ravens - MLP (WIN)
Bills - MLP (WIN)
StatLogic Sports Wildcard Weekend Betting Edges
Texans buy to +3.5 vs. Chargers at -135 - WIN
Broncos +9 and higher at Bills - LOSS
Eagles -4.5 vs. Packers - WIN
Commanders buy to +3.5 at Buccaneers at -130 & UNDER 51 - WIN/WIN
Minnesota pick/money line -110 vs. Rams (neutral site) - LOSS/WIN
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