We take a look at every single college and pro basketball game on the schedule every day. By using available data and a strict filtering progress, we are able to determine which games might present betting edges for us to examine more closely.
Since we are a small - but hopefully growing - family-oriented business, we only have so much manpower and bandwidth available to create content and break down games. Just trust us when we say that we follow a very detailed extensive process every day, which helps us weed out games, determine where there might be betting edges and ultimately determine which picks will meet our high standards to be the ones we recommend to clients and potential customers.
Because of the number of games that can be on the daily basketball docket - there were 130 college hoops games Saturday - and the attention we give to football now and baseball in the spring, there are some days when we don't have the time to break down our picks and potential picks and provide as much content as we like, so on days like that we may just post picks here or on our Twitter or BlueSky account.
Soon we also will be using TikTok, Instagram and YouTube to post picks, game breakdowns and other content as often ass possible. There also is a podcast in our future plans via which we will provide insight about games, picks and sports gambling to help anyone interested along their sports-gambling journey.
Again, some of this is just a matter of having the time and manpower available to make it happen, but that's the direction we are heading and hopefully we will get there sooner rather than later.
Once we are fully operational, our daily client picks will only be given out to our paying customers. Those will be our Superstar Picks, which according to our proprietary algorithm, have better than a 70-percent win probability, and our All-Star Picks, which have a 60-percent or higher win probability. We will continue to post them here in the free areas of our website in full transparency and so they can be tracked publicly.
And we will continue to post and break down games that our model feels strongly about that are close to being recommended picks but don't make the cut for one reason or another. Those will be posted for anyone to see along with the games with betting edges you see below that we have been posting for several months now.
Those edges are presented in this space, along with any recommended picks from our proprietary algorithm, several times a week. Most of them will miss the cut to be recommended selections, because we have a very stringent set of requirements that must be met for a game to be released as an All-Star or Superstar Pick.
But as we have tracked these games with edges over time, it came to our attention that they, too, are very solid picks that provide a nice ROI over the long term. So, while our reputation has been built on providing only a certain level of picks that win at a very high percentage and provide an annual ROI for our top investor clients at a rate that exceeds most - if not all - available other investment opportunities, we didn't want to ignore the results from the other selections.
Hopefully, by making some of that information available - and allowing potential customers to choose the selections they might want to use - we will be able to service a wider range of clients and help more people gamble responsibly and be profitable. The betting-edge picks we don't recommend are always "bet at your own risk," but as you can see below, the results are very solid. Once people see how good those selections are we are pretty sure they will want to purchase our best picks as well.
After analyzing as many as 50 different statistical categories and other factors for each contest, our proprietary algorithm proceeds to provide us with win probabilities for whichever games we run. Percentages are provided for spread bets, money-line bets and totals.
From there. we throw out any games that are below 60-percent win probability and then apply a rigorous set of rules and guidelines to each contest to determine which ones meet our final criteria. Information such as injuries, rest, coaching matchups, styles of play and pace, recent form and other data points are included in this process.
Sometimes we receive more information or there is breaking news that we add back into the mix and re-run the game to ensure that we get the most accurate win probability.
Once the process is complete, hopefully we are left with a few games that become recommended picks - and perhaps one or two that narrowly miss the cut. Bets that narrowly miss the cut may be provided to our paying customers as bonus picks, while the other games with smaller, less-convincing edges always will be posted here.. There are times when we may have a pick that is so strong, but with odds so short, that we may pair it with an All-Star Pick or bonus selection as part of a parlay.
We usually don't recommend parlays, but we realize there are times when the short odds for one of our recommended picks makes betting a certain side prohibitive for some people. When that happens, although we may not recommend the parlay, we at least want to help those folks have the best chance of winning if that's the direction they choose to take.
So far in our tracking of college basketball games since the season opened in early November, the games we have determined to have betting edges have compiled a record of 413-313-9 (56.9 percent). All of our recommended picks that have been posted in all sports since mid-August have been winning consistently at about a 70-percent clip.
StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for 1/6
Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability
NBA: Detroit Pistons money line -250 vs. Portland Trailblzers (76%) - WIN
CBB: Nicholls State money line -240 - WIN
StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for 1/6
All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability
N/A
Parlay City
While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edtes.
Our potential money line parlay games from Jan. 4-6 were 19-1 !!!
Potential Money Line Parlay Partners for 1/6
NBA:
Indiana Pacers - WIN
Milwaukee Bucks - WIN
CBB:
Norfolk State - WIN
UT Rio Grande Valley - LOSS
Southern - WIN
North Carolina Central - PPD
Howard - PPD
NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edge Record:
413-313-9 (56.9%)
Jan. 6 Record: 5-2-0
Jan. 5 Record: 6-3-0
Jan. 4 Record: 21-15-1
Jan. 3 Record: 5-6-0
Jan. 2 Record: 11-6-0
Jan. 1 Record: 6-4-1
Dec. 31 Record: 11-12
Last 7 days: 65-48-2 (57.5%)
Last 27 days: 216-161-5 (57.3%)
Stat-Logic Sports NCAA College Basketball Betting Edges 1/6
UT Rio Grande Valley money line -155 at SE Louisiana - LOSS
South Florida +9 at Wichita State - WIN
Minnesota +5 vs. Ohio State - WIN
Houston Christian +9 at Stephen F. Austin - WIN
Houston -18 vs. TCU - WIN
North Carolina Central money line -175 at Morgan State - PPD
Grambling +4.5 at Texas Southern - LOSS
Coppin State +12 vs. South Carolina State - WIN
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