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StatLogic Sports First 2025-26 NCAA College Basketball Significant 76 Power Ratings


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Below are our first StatLogic Sports NCAA college basketball Significant 76 Power Ratings for the 2025-26 season. We've relied slightly on prior numbers in combination with updated results, opening sports book numbers, market movement and other analytics covering the season's opening six weeks to ensure our first rating is as accurate and representative as possible.


As with any numbers-based rating system, our ratings will become more accurate and have less drastic week-to-week movement as the season progresses. For now, we ask that readers focus on the actual rating as opposed to ranking. No team has performed better or been more dominant than Michigan to date, but keep in mind that there are dozens of factors that considered during our process, and even though they are the third-ranked team, there is less than one ratings point separating the top five.


It all works it's way out as the season progresses, and sometimes it takes a little bit of time for the true cream of the crop to rise to the top. Michigan would be favored by almost three points at home against Duke, and a neutral-site game would be considered a pick-em. Our raw numbers have them as the best team at the moment.


This initial rating provides readers with an idea of where teams rank in relation to others, where they might project going forward and what kind of point differential might be expected if any two teams were to meet.


In addition to our Significant 76, we will begin posting our betting edges, parlay options and recommended college basketball picks on a semi-regular basis. Given that there still are football games being played, those Saturday's with 150 hoops games can be a challenge for a small staff, but we will do our best to provide college hoops betting information as often as we can. We've been running the numbers for the last six weeks, testing them and tracking the results. They are getting more accurate every day, and even though we were doing this without enough current data for the numbers to be as tight as we require, through six weeks the games we have tabbed as having a signifiant enough of an edge toward one side to consider placing a bet have won at a 56-percent rate overall, and our money line parlay options are hitting at just under 75 percent.


College basketball is a strength for us, and we have made our largest profit of the calendar year during March Madness each of the past two seasons. Our numbers and ROI traditionally trend upward as the season progresses, so we are very pleased with how our test run has gone. Our test sample size has consisted of more than 350 games.


Here is a look at our college basketball results from last season:


NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edges

Final Regular-Season Record:

875-662-19 (56.9%)


Postseason CBB Money Line Parlay Options: 56-7 (88,9%)

We opened the postseason on a 29-4 run. The final 24 college basketball parlay options were winners (March 21 - April 2).


Regular Season Parlay Options:

They went 384-138 (73.6%) from Jan. 14-15 until early March. From Jan. 4-6 they were

19-1 and were 14-1 overall Feb. 4-5 (college hoops went 12-0 those two days). On Feb. 11 they were 13-0, and for Feb. 11-13 combined they were 31-2. We closed out college hoops regular season on a 21-3 run.


For the regular season and postseason, our hoops parlay options went 440-185 (75.2%).


Postseason College Basketball Record:

CBB Parlay Options: 56-7 (88.9%)


Postseason CBB Betting Edges: 58-31-1 (65.2%)

     Final 7 Betting Days: 17-5 (77.3%)

     Final 64 Betting Days: 519-363 (58.8%)


Postseason CBB Bonus Picks: 14-3 (82.4%)


Overall CBB 2024-25 Betting Edge Record:

933-693-20 (57.4%)



Stat-Logic Sports NCAA CBB Significant 76 for 12/8/25

Rank

Team

Rate

1

Duke

99.30

2

Purdue

98.90

3

Michigan

98.60

4

Arizona

98.50

5

Gonzaga

98.30

6

Louisville

98.20

7

UConn

98.10

8

Houston

97.60

9

Iowa State

97.10

10

St. John's

96.70

11

Michigan State

96.50

12

Vanderbilt

96.40

13

Florida

96.40

14

Alabama

96.00

15

Illinois

96.00

16

BYU

95.90

17

Texas Tech

95.60

18

Tennessee

95.60

19

Kentucky

94.40

20

Indiana

93.70

21

Wisconsin

93.60

22

Iowa

93.20

23

Kansas

92.90

24

North Carolina

92.60

25

Auburn

92.20

26

UCLA

91.60

27

St. Mary's

91.00

28

Missouri

90.80

29

Clemson

90.60

30

LSU

90.50

31

USC

90.30

32

Arkansas

90.00

33

Mississippi

89.90

34

SMU

89.90

35

Baylor

89.60

36

Texas A&M

89.60

37

Georgia

89.50

38

Virginia

89.40

39

NC State

88.00

40

Washington

87.90

41

Oklahoma State

87.60

42

USF

87.40

43

Cincinnati

87.30

44

Miami

87.30

45

Oklahoma

87.30

46

Utah State

87.30

47

Villanova

87.20

48

San Diego State

87.10

49

Northwestern

87.00

50

Ohio State

87.00

51

Nebraska

86.90

52

Notre Dame

86.80

53

Texas

86.50

54

VCU

86.40

55

Colorado State

86.30

56

Virginia Tech

86.30

57

Colorado

85.80

58

Syracuse

85.80

59

Wake Forest

85.80

60

Boise State

85.70

61

Butler

85.50

62

Kansas State

85.50

63

Oregon

85.40

64

Marquette

85.30

65

TCU

85.30

66

Dayton

85.20

67

Yale

85.20

68

George Washington

85.10

69

Maryland

85.10

70

West Virginia

84.70

71

Providence

84.60

72

St. Louis

84.60

73

Creighton

84.50

74

George Mason

84.50

75

Memphis

84.40

76

Georgetown

84.30


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