StatLogic Sports First 2025-26 NCAA College Basketball Significant 76 Power Ratings
- Scott L.
- 5 minutes ago
- 4 min read

Below are our first StatLogic Sports NCAA college basketball Significant 76 Power Ratings for the 2025-26 season. We've relied slightly on prior numbers in combination with updated results, opening sports book numbers, market movement and other analytics covering the season's opening six weeks to ensure our first rating is as accurate and representative as possible.
As with any numbers-based rating system, our ratings will become more accurate and have less drastic week-to-week movement as the season progresses. For now, we ask that readers focus on the actual rating as opposed to ranking. No team has performed better or been more dominant than Michigan to date, but keep in mind that there are dozens of factors that considered during our process, and even though they are the third-ranked team, there is less than one ratings point separating the top five.
It all works it's way out as the season progresses, and sometimes it takes a little bit of time for the true cream of the crop to rise to the top. Michigan would be favored by almost three points at home against Duke, and a neutral-site game would be considered a pick-em. Our raw numbers have them as the best team at the moment.
This initial rating provides readers with an idea of where teams rank in relation to others, where they might project going forward and what kind of point differential might be expected if any two teams were to meet.
In addition to our Significant 76, we will begin posting our betting edges, parlay options and recommended college basketball picks on a semi-regular basis. Given that there still are football games being played, those Saturday's with 150 hoops games can be a challenge for a small staff, but we will do our best to provide college hoops betting information as often as we can. We've been running the numbers for the last six weeks, testing them and tracking the results. They are getting more accurate every day, and even though we were doing this without enough current data for the numbers to be as tight as we require, through six weeks the games we have tabbed as having a signifiant enough of an edge toward one side to consider placing a bet have won at a 56-percent rate overall, and our money line parlay options are hitting at just under 75 percent.
College basketball is a strength for us, and we have made our largest profit of the calendar year during March Madness each of the past two seasons. Our numbers and ROI traditionally trend upward as the season progresses, so we are very pleased with how our test run has gone. Our test sample size has consisted of more than 350 games.
Here is a look at our college basketball results from last season:
NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edges
Final Regular-Season Record:
875-662-19 (56.9%)
Postseason CBB Money Line Parlay Options: 56-7 (88,9%)
We opened the postseason on a 29-4 run. The final 24 college basketball parlay options were winners (March 21 - April 2).
Regular Season Parlay Options:
They went 384-138 (73.6%) from Jan. 14-15 until early March. From Jan. 4-6 they were
19-1 and were 14-1 overall Feb. 4-5 (college hoops went 12-0 those two days). On Feb. 11 they were 13-0, and for Feb. 11-13 combined they were 31-2. We closed out college hoops regular season on a 21-3 run.
For the regular season and postseason, our hoops parlay options went 440-185 (75.2%).
Postseason College Basketball Record:
CBB Parlay Options: 56-7 (88.9%)
Postseason CBB Betting Edges: 58-31-1 (65.2%)
Final 7 Betting Days: 17-5 (77.3%)
Final 64 Betting Days: 519-363 (58.8%)
Postseason CBB Bonus Picks: 14-3 (82.4%)
Overall CBB 2024-25 Betting Edge Record:
933-693-20 (57.4%)
Stat-Logic Sports NCAA CBB Significant 76 for 12/8/25
Rank | Team | Rate |
1 | Duke | 99.30 |
2 | Purdue | 98.90 |
3 | Michigan | 98.60 |
4 | Arizona | 98.50 |
5 | Gonzaga | 98.30 |
6 | Louisville | 98.20 |
7 | UConn | 98.10 |
8 | Houston | 97.60 |
9 | Iowa State | 97.10 |
10 | St. John's | 96.70 |
11 | Michigan State | 96.50 |
12 | Vanderbilt | 96.40 |
13 | Florida | 96.40 |
14 | Alabama | 96.00 |
15 | Illinois | 96.00 |
16 | BYU | 95.90 |
17 | Texas Tech | 95.60 |
18 | Tennessee | 95.60 |
19 | Kentucky | 94.40 |
20 | Indiana | 93.70 |
21 | Wisconsin | 93.60 |
22 | Iowa | 93.20 |
23 | Kansas | 92.90 |
24 | North Carolina | 92.60 |
25 | Auburn | 92.20 |
26 | UCLA | 91.60 |
27 | St. Mary's | 91.00 |
28 | Missouri | 90.80 |
29 | Clemson | 90.60 |
30 | LSU | 90.50 |
31 | USC | 90.30 |
32 | Arkansas | 90.00 |
33 | Mississippi | 89.90 |
34 | SMU | 89.90 |
35 | Baylor | 89.60 |
36 | Texas A&M | 89.60 |
37 | Georgia | 89.50 |
38 | Virginia | 89.40 |
39 | NC State | 88.00 |
40 | Washington | 87.90 |
41 | Oklahoma State | 87.60 |
42 | USF | 87.40 |
43 | Cincinnati | 87.30 |
44 | Miami | 87.30 |
45 | Oklahoma | 87.30 |
46 | Utah State | 87.30 |
47 | Villanova | 87.20 |
48 | San Diego State | 87.10 |
49 | Northwestern | 87.00 |
50 | Ohio State | 87.00 |
51 | Nebraska | 86.90 |
52 | Notre Dame | 86.80 |
53 | Texas | 86.50 |
54 | VCU | 86.40 |
55 | Colorado State | 86.30 |
56 | Virginia Tech | 86.30 |
57 | Colorado | 85.80 |
58 | Syracuse | 85.80 |
59 | Wake Forest | 85.80 |
60 | Boise State | 85.70 |
61 | Butler | 85.50 |
62 | Kansas State | 85.50 |
63 | Oregon | 85.40 |
64 | Marquette | 85.30 |
65 | TCU | 85.30 |
66 | Dayton | 85.20 |
67 | Yale | 85.20 |
68 | George Washington | 85.10 |
69 | Maryland | 85.10 |
70 | West Virginia | 84.70 |
71 | Providence | 84.60 |
72 | St. Louis | 84.60 |
73 | Creighton | 84.50 |
74 | George Mason | 84.50 |
75 | Memphis | 84.40 |
76 | Georgetown | 84.30 |