We will see where our model is at Saturday morning as far as NCAA football selections for Week 4 are concerned. Actually, we should have a good idea by midnight Friday as to whether we will have our first recommended Superstar or All-Star college football selections of the season.
We've been posting games in which we think there might be an edge the last few weeks, and so far those games have gone 45-39-1 after a 14-10-1 showing last weekend and a 9-10 record this week. This is just part of our process once the algorithm has enough current data, and from there the model helps us filter through the picks with an edge to find and recommend only the ones with the highest win probabilities.
Here is what we tracked for Week 4 of the 2024 NCAA college football season. This is our final pre-noon kickoff list for Week 4. The list gets smaller each week as the data becomes more valid. Note that we did have three Bonus Picks. These are selections that are very close to being All-Star or Superstar Picks but don't quite make the cut. This week, the Bonus Picks are our strongest selections:
Week 4 Client Only Superstar Selection
Army -6 vs. Rice (70%) - W
Week 4 CFB Bonus Selections
Houston +4 at Cincinnati - L
Georgia Tech +10.5 at Louisville - L
USC - 4 at Michigan - L
Week 4 CFB Tracked Games With an Edge
Syracuse -9 or better vs. Stanford - L
Boston College -5.5 vs. Michigan State - L
West Virginia -1 vs. Kansas & over 55 - W/W
Clemson -17 vs. NC State & over 44 - W/W
Iowa -2.5 at Minnesota - W
Virginia Tech -3 vs. Rutgers - L
Kansas State -6.5 at BYU - L
Arkansas at Auburn -2.5 - L
Tennessee -6.5 at Oklahoma and under 57.5 - W/W
Oklahoma State pick vs. Utah - L
Arizona State +3.5 Texas Tech and over 59 - L/L
USC at Michigan over 44 - W
LSU -21 vs. UCLA and under 56.5 L/W
Toledo -2.5 at Western Kentucky and over 59 - L/L
Mississippi State +6.5 vs. Florida - L
Louisiana Tech -3 vs. Tulsa - L
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