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StatLogic Sports NFL Championship Sunday Projections & Picks with Edges & SB Hypotheticals

Scott L.

Updated: Jan 27



National Football League Championship Sunday is almost here, and we are back with our raw projections, betting edges, recommended picks and even some Super Bowl hypothetical projections.


These will be tweaked right up until game time Sunday, so please check back often.


From here we will further crunch the numbers to determine whether or not our model has any recommended picks for Saturday or Sunday. Remember we only consider recommending games that our proprietary algorithm determines have a 60 percent or better win probability. And even some of those games fail to make the cut because they don't meet our stringent requirements that consider numerous statistical categories and other factors such as in-game coaching decisions, weather, injuries, etc.


Over time we have realized the some games that narrowly miss the cut for being recommended picks still are solid bets that provide an edge, so we do provide that information here, although those are not plays we recommend. We've build our reputation over two decades by only recommending the absolute best picks, which has resulted in a very stron annual ROI for our top clients.


StatLogic Sports NFL Superstar Picks for NFL Championship Sunday

Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability

TBD



StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for NFL Championship Sunday

All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability

TBD



Parlay City

While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edges.



StatLogic Sports NFL Championship Sunday Potential Parlay/Teaser Options

BONUS BET: Parlay/Tease Commanders +14 & Bills +7.5 at -150 (57% probability) - LOSS

Kansas City Chiefs - MLP/Tease - WIN

Philadelphia Eagles - MLP/Tease - WIN



NFL Championship Sunday Updated Power Rankings

  1. Buffalo Bills - 99.5

  2. Kansas City Chiefs - 99.0

  3. Philadelphia Eagles - 99.0

  4. Washington Commaners - 97.0



NFL Championship Sunday Raw Projections

Chiefs -2.8 vs. Bills

Eagles -5.4 vs. Commanders



NFL Championship Sunday Betting Edges

Commanders buy to +7 at -136 at Eagles & UNDER 48. 5 or higher - LOSS/LOSS

Chiefs money line -125 vs. Bills & UNDER 49 - WIN/LOSS



Super Bowl 59 Raw Projection

Chiefs -0.4 Eagles


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