top of page

StatLogic Sports NFL Division Playoffs Updated Game Day Projections & Edges

Scott L.

Updated: Jan 19



It's weekend two of the NFL playoffs, and we have calculated our Division Playoff game day power rankings, projections and betting edges.


From here we will further crunch the numbers to determine whether or not our model has any recommended picks for Saturday or Sunday. Remember we only consider recommending games that our proprietary algorithm determines have a 60 percent or better win probability. And even some of those games fail to make the cut because they don't meet our stringent requirements that consider numerous statistical categories and other factors such as in-game coaching decisions, weather, injuries, etc.


Over time we have realized the some games that narrowly miss the cut for being recommended picks still are solid bets that provide an edge, so we do provide that information here, although those are not plays we recommend. We've build our reputation over two decades by only recommending the absolute best picks, which has resulted in a very stron annual ROI for our top clients.


StatLogic Sports NFL Superstar Picks for NFL Division Playoffs

Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability

TBD



StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for NFL Division Playoffs

All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability

SGP: Texans +15 vs. Chiefs with OVER 35.5 (64% win probability) - WIN

SGP: Rams +14.5 vs. Eagles with OVER 36.5 (65% win probability) - WIN



Parlay City

While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edges.



StatLogic Sports NFL Division Playoffs Potential Parlay/Teaser Options

Kansas City Chiefs - MLP/Tease - WIN

Philadelphia Eagles - MLP/Tease - WIN



NFL Division Playoffs Updated Power Rankings

  1. Detroit Lions - 100

  2. Baltimore Ravens - 99.5

  3. Philadelphia Eagles - 99.0

  4. Kansas City Chiefs - 98.5

  5. Buffalo Bills - 98.0

  6. Washington Commanders - 96.0

  7. Los Angeles Rams - 96.0

  8. Houston Texans - 94.0



NFL Division Playoffs Raw Projections

Lions -6.58 vs. Commanders

Bills -1.417 vs. Ravens

Chiefs -7.22 vs. Texans

Eagles -5.871 vs. Rams



NFL Division Playoffs Betting Edges

Commanders +9.5 at Lions & UNDER 57 - WIN/LOSS

Rams at Eagles UNDER 44.5 & higher - LOSS




Comments


bottom of page