StatLogic Sports Week 5 NFL Power Ratings Plus UPDATED Betting Edges & Parlay/Teaser Options

Our Week 5 National Football League Power Ratings are complete, but there still can be minor tweaks and changes as more injury information is released ahead of the Sunday and Monday games. Changes become more likely and frequent as injuries to key players across the league continue to mount and more injury information becomes public, so make sure to check back frequently.

The current ratings can be found below, and at the bottom of the page there also are some early betting edges, parlay and teaser options. These also will be updated as the week progresses, so always check back before placing any wagers.

With each passing week as more current data is accumulated, the numbers generally become more accurate and provide a better snapshot of where the betting edges might be for that week's games. During the past couple of weeks we had our first client recommended picks and bonus bets.

So far this year there has been extremely high volatility in betting lines and power ratings because of the number of injuries to key players as well as the surprise injuries that were not initially made public but have popped up on late-week injury reports or even on game days. This week has provided a prime example of that volatility, and since assigning numerical impact to teams based on injuries to players is very much an inexact science, those scenarios make handicapping games even more challenging than usual.

This week alone we've seen the Ravens flip from a 9.5-point favorite to a 2-point home underdog vs. an underwhelming Texans team as injuries to defensive players continue to mount and it was reported that quarterback Lamar Jackson might be out for as long as three weeks.

Thursday night's matchup also has seen a dramatic line move, with the host Rams initially opening as about a field-goal favorite before that line moved about six points in their favor. Los Angeles hosts the injury-depleted 49ers, who will be without quarterback Brock Purdy, starting tight end George Kittle and starting receivers Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall. Ironically, the oft-injured Christian McCaffrey is one of the team's healthier players for a change.

Last week was a rough one for our NFL betting edges and parlay/teaser options as all handicapping gets thrown out the window when so many of the league's top players such as Malik Nabers, Tyreek Hill and many others who don't play the more visible skill positions are dropping like flies during games. Not to worry, though; it may take a week or two to adjust to everything that is being thrown at us, but the numbers will adjust and the results will turn around. We had a very difficult week earlier this year on the college football side of things, but our betting edges and parlay options have rebounded there to go 30-14-1 and 17-4, respectively, the past two weeks.

These power ratings are the starting point as far as determining our weekly recommended picks. It's one part of the equation that mostly includes our proprietary algorithm, which has predicted winners of college football, college basketball, NFL, MLB and NBA games at about a 65-percent success rate for the last two decades. We first determine where there may be betting edges before running those games through the algorithm.

We provide a lot of free information here to help bettors who crave more action make the best possible decisions with their money, but we only release our top recommended picks to our paying customers. Occasionally, we will release bonus bets that also go to our customers or narrowly miss the cut to be recommended selections here as a thank you for coming to our site. Sometimes these are sent only to clients and sometimes we make them public.

Our recommended picks must have at least a 65-percent win probability and meet a strict set of requirements before earning that distinction and being sent out to our customers. These are low-volume, investment-oriented selections that have returned an annual ROI equal to or exceeding what other potential investments traditionally yield. They are entirely based on the algorithm and the strict rules and guidelines we apply to each game. There is no human bias involved.

This is the approach that we recommend for our clients - a long-term, investment-based mindset that minimizes risk and maximizes their return on investment.

We realize there is a large market of more casual sports bettors who enjoy wagering on multiple games and the excitement of having action on several contests per day or on a weekly basis. While we don't condone or promote that type of betting behavior, we realize that it is a reality and post information here to help those bettors maximize their odds of being successful.

Any information supplied for that market is considered "bet at your own risk." We track the performance of those suggested edges but DO NOT recommend that approach.

StatLogic Sports Week 5 NFL Power Ratings

Rank	Team	Rating
1	Bills	99.3
2	Eagles	98.4
3	Lions	98.4
4	Packers	97.7
5	Chiefs	97.2
6	Rams	96.9
7	Chargers	95.8
8	Broncos	94.6
9	Colts	94.5
10	Ravens	94.4
11	Buccaneers	94.2
12	Seahawks	93.7
13	Commanders	93.6
14	49ers	93.5
15	Vikings	93
16	Cardinals	93
17	Jaguars	92.8
18	Steelers	92.4
19	Falcons	92.4
20	Cowboys	92.2
21	Patriots	92.1
22	Texans	91.8
23	Bears	91.1
24	Giants	90.6
25	Raiders	90.6
26	Dolphins	89.8
27	Bengals	89.7
28	Browns	89.2
29	Jets	88.7
30	Panthers	88.7
31	Saints	88
32	Titans	87

StatLogic Sports Week 6 Betting Edges

We had the 49ers at +4.9 for Thursday Night Football. Normally they would have been considered to have a significant edge to cover the +8.5 spread but the significant injuries would not allow us to post them.

Sunday, October 5

Eagles -3 or better vs. Broncos (6.8)

Giants +2.5 at Saints (NY -0.7) & UNDER 42.5

Seahawks -180 money line vs. Buccaneers (2.5) -180

Chargers money line -145 vs. Commanders (3.3)

Chiefs -3/money line -180 at Jaguars (3.3)

Ravens +2.5 vs. Texans (BAL -4.8)

Potential Money Line Parlay Options

Eagles - LOSS

Colts - WIN

Seahawks - LOSS

Lions - WIN

Bills - LOSS

Chiefs