
Not much time for a write-up today, unfortunately. Recommended picks, edges and parlay options below. Hail to the Commanders, who we had as a betting edge at +9.5 on our NFL page yesterday!
We've mentioned here many times that the win probability alone doesn't make a pick one that we would recommend to our paying customers - or anyone else for that matter. Once we determine which teams meet the criteria to be fully considered as All-Star or Superstar Picks according to our model, there is another process in which we run those teams through a rigorous set of rules and guidelines before settling on which, if any, make the cut to be recommended selections.
Remember that our Superstar Picks have a win probability of at least 70 percent, while our All-Star Picks come in at 60 percent or better.
As you read through today's information, keep in mind that we are extremely selective with our recommended picks as they need to have at least a 60-percent win probability or better according to our proprietary algorithm and also must pass through that stringent set of parameters that we consider for each matchup. In our daily posts you will find our recommended bets as well as games that don't quite make the cut to be recommended and which might make solid parlay options and other games where we believe there are edges favoring one side.
Parlays always will have a lower win probability than straight bets, but there are times that a parlay will meet our requirements and be recommended. We realize that many sports bettors prefer not to bet very short odds that approach and exceed -200, so in our goal to provide as much information and help as many people as possible, we do provide potential parlay options that are strong bets that don't quite make the cut for us as well as other games that have betting edges but also don't quite meet our high standards to be recommended picks.
Our college basketball betting edges have performed well, hovering at around 56 to 57 percent over a large sample size since early November, and our parlay options have been extremely successful as you can see below.
StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for 1/18
Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability
N/A
StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for 1/18
All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability
Cleveland State money line -240 at UW Green Bay (65% win probability) - WIN
Parlay City
While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edges.
Our potential money line parlay games from Jan. 4-6 were 19-1 ... they have gone 99-31 since Jan. 4 and were 18-2 Jan. 14-15.
Potential Money Line Parlay Options for 1/19
NBA:
TBD
CBB:
Youngstown State - WIN
Temple - WIN
Cleveland State - WIN
UW Milwaukee - LOSS
The Eagles are a strong NFL money line parlay option for this weekend. Pairing them with any of the teams listed above would be a solid bet to consider.
NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edge Record:
520-404-12 (56.3%)
Jan. 19 Record: 2-4
Jan. 18 Record: 20-14
Jan. 17 Record: 6-4
Jan. 16 Record: 15-6
Jan. 15 Record: 8-11-1
Jan. 14 Record: 9-6
Jan. 13 Record: 3-2
Last 7 days: 63-47-1 (57.3%)
Last 39 days: 335-260-8 (56.3%)
Stat-Logic Sports NCAA College Basketball Betting Edges 1/19
Michigan State money line -130 vs. Illinois - WIN
Temple -3.5 vs. Tulane - LOSS
Youngstown State -7.5 vs. Green Bay - LOSS
Rice +10 at Florida Atlantic - WIN
Michigan -9 vs. Northwestern - LOSS
Baylor -12.5 vs. TCU - LOSS
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